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首页> 外文期刊>SOLA: Scientific Online Letters on the Atmosphere >Verification of the Performance of the Pseudo-Global-Warming Method for Future Climate Changes during June in East Asia
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Verification of the Performance of the Pseudo-Global-Warming Method for Future Climate Changes during June in East Asia

机译:伪全球变暖方法对未来6月东亚气候变化的性能验证

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References(11) Cited-By(4) Supplementary materials(1) The performance of the pseudo-global-warming downscaling (PGWDS) method is tested by comparison with the assumed true climate (ATC), which is a downscaling using a general circulation model (GCM) output data directly. The PGWDS is a simple way to downscale for a future climate using current weather data of a GCM added by the long-term mean difference between the present and the future climate projected by a GCM. The verification focuses on the East Asia during the rainy season of June. A significant change in the 30-year averaged monthly precipitation is found around the rain band in the future in both downscaling methods. Between the experiments of the PGWDS and the ATC, no significant differences in temperature and precipitation can be seen except for limited small areas. The findings indicate that the PGWDS has a highly potential to the reliable downscaling of the future climate. In smaller downscaling domains, however, the differences in precipitation increase remarkably near the upstream side of the lateral boundaries. The choice of the downscaling area is a critical issue for accuracy.
机译:参考文献(11)被引用的文献(4)补充材料(1)通过与假定真实气候(ATC)的比较测试了伪全球变暖降尺度(PGWDS)方法的性能,该假设是使用普通循环进行的降尺度模型(GCM)直接输出数据。 PGWDS是使用GCM的当前天气数据加上GCM预测的当前和未来气候之间的长期平均差加上的未来气候缩减的一种简单方法。验证的重点是六月的雨季中的东亚。两种降尺度方法都将在未来雨带附近发现30年平均月降水量的显着变化。在PGWDS和ATC的实验之间,除了有限的小区域外,没有观察到温度和降水的显着差异。研究结果表明,PGWDS在可靠降低未来气候的规模方面具有很大潜力。然而,在较小的降尺度域中,在横向边界的上游侧附近,降水差异明显增加。缩小区域的选择对于精度至关重要。

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