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Research on Population-Land-Industry Relationship Pattern in Underdeveloped Regions: Gansu Province of Western China as an Example

机译：欠发达地区人口-土地-产业关系模式研究：以中国西部甘肃省为例

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摘要

Urbanization is a three-dimensional process including population, spatial, and economic changes. The coordination among the three dimensions is the key to sustainable urban development. Here, a population-land-industry index system of urbanization is constructed, and the degree of coupling and mutual feedback among population urbanization, land urbanization, and industrial urbanization are analyzed. The urbanization patterns and their spatiotemporal variation are identified. The results show that: (1) Population and land urbanization proceeded slowly in Gansu Province and their trends were similar, whereas industry urbanization proceeded faster than the two. From a spatial perspective, population, land, and industrial urbanization levels ( PU i , LU i , and IU i ) decreased from southwest to northeast. The coupling degree of population, land, and industrial urbanization increased from 1998 to 2016 and showed significant spatial variation, decreasing from northwest to southeast. (2) Population, land, and industry all play a role in urbanization. PU i was significantly and positively correlated with LU i . However, there was no significant correlation between IU i and PU i and between IU i and LU i . The improvement of PU i , LU i , and IU i effectively promoted the coupling degree of population, land, and industrial urbanization. (3) Seven urbanization patterns were identified in Gansu Province and evaluation units with the same urbanization pattern tended to be spatially close to each other. IU i PU i LU i (IX), IU i LU i PU i (X) and IU i PU i = LU i (XI) were the dominant urbanization patterns. There was crisscross distribution of various urbanization patterns and, thus, it was not easy to observe the agglomeration center of certain urbanization pattern. (4) The urbanization pattern of the same evaluation unit changed with time. This change was mainly reflected in the change of relationship between population and land urbanization. Urbanization pattern changed more significantly in 2008–2016 than in 1998–2008. The changes were dominant by IX→XI, X→XI, XI→IX, and XI→X.
机译：城市化是一个包括人口，空间和经济变化的三维过程。这三个方面的协调是可持续城市发展的关键。在此，构建了城市化的人口土地工业指标体系，分析了人口城市化，土地城市化和工业城市化之间的耦合度和相互反馈度。确定了城市化模式及其时空变化。结果表明：（1）甘肃省人口和土地城市化进程缓慢，趋势相似，而工业化城市化进程快于二者。从空间角度看，人口，土地和工业城市化水平（PU i，LU i和IU i）从西南到东北下降。人口，土地和工业城市化的耦合度从1998年到2016年呈上升趋势，并且表现出明显的空间变化，从西北向东南减小。 （2）人口，土地和工业都在城市化中发挥作用。 PU i与LU i显着正相关。但是，IU i和PU i之间以及IU i和LU i之间没有显着相关性。 PU i，LU i和IU i的改进有效地促进了人口，土地和工业城市化的耦合程度。 （3）甘肃省确定了7种城市化模式，具有相同城市化模式的评估单位往往在空间上彼此接近。 IU i> PU i> LU i（IX），IU i> LU i> PU i（X）和IU i> PU i = LU i（XI）是主要的城市化模式。各种城市化模式存在纵横交错的分布，因此，很难观察到某些城市化模式的集聚中心。 （4）同一评价单位的城市化格局随时间变化。这种变化主要体现在人口与土地城市化关系的变化上。与1998-2008年相比，2008-2016年的城市化模式变化更为明显。 IX→XI，X→XI，XI→IX和XI→X占主导地位。

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