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Measuring the Changes of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Caused by the Trans-Pacific Partnership

机译：衡量跨太平洋伙伴关系造成的温室气体排放量变化

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The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) is one of the proposed mega-free trade agreements. While several previous studies have measured the economic impact of the trade liberalization resulting from the TPP, the TPP may have not only a very large economic impact, but also a significant environmental impact, such as changes in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The purpose of this paper is to contribute to the debate over TPP and GHG emissions by asking the following question: Will the TPP increase or decrease GHG emissions? We estimate the potential impact on GHG emissions changes caused by the TPP using the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model, and the GTAP CO2 and non-CO2 emissions databases. Our results suggest that the TPP is likely to increase the total amount of GHG emissions in the 12 TPP member countries, as well as global emissions. The main reason for increasing TPP member and global GHG emissions is non-CO2 emissions growth in Australia and the US.
机译：跨太平洋伙伴关系（TPP）是拟议的巨型自由贸易协议之一。尽管先前的几项研究测量了TPP带来的贸易自由化的经济影响，但TPP可能不仅具有很大的经济影响，而且还具有重大的环境影响，例如温室气体（GHG）排放的变化。本文的目的是通过提出以下问题来推动有关TPP和GHG排放的辩论：TPP是增加还是减少GHG排放？我们使用全球贸易分析项目（GTAP）模型以及GTAP CO2和非CO2排放数据库估算了TPP对TPP造成的温室气体排放变化的潜在影响。我们的结果表明，TPP可能会增加12个TPP成员国的温室气体排放总量以及全球排放量。 TPP成员和全球温室气体排放量增加的主要原因是澳大利亚和美国的非二氧化碳排放量增长。

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