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Selfish Memes: An Update of Richard Dawkins’ Bibliometric Analysis of Key Papers in Sociobiology

机译：自私的模因：理查德·道金斯（Richard Dawkins）对社会生物学关键论文的文献计量分析的更新

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In the second edition of The Selfish Gene , Richard Dawkins included a short bibliometric analysis of key papers instrumental to the sociobiological revolution, the intention of which was to support his proposal that ideas spread within a population in an epidemiological manner. In his analysis, Dawkins primarily discussed the influence of an article by British evolutionary biologist William Donald Hamilton which had introduced the concept of “inclusive fitness”, and he argued that citations to it were accumulating in a very different manner to two other seminal papers, demonstrating the appearance and spread of a new “meme” in circles. This paper re-examines Dawkins’ original analysis and the conclusions drawn from it, and updates those conclusions based on citation data accumulated in the intervening three decades since . This updated analysis shows that patterns of citation for the three papers, and Dawkins’ book itself, are actually remarkably similar and show no qualitative difference in citation growth. The data are well described by a two-phase exponential model of citation growth in which citations accumulate rapidly and then saturate at a slower level of growth dictated primarily by the general increase in production. It is speculated that this two-phase exponential growth, with some modification to account for papers that are not immediately discovered, may be a signature that will help to reveal the emergence of genuinely novel ideas within the literature.
机译：在第二版的《自私的基因》中，理查德·道金斯（Richard Dawkins）对社会生物学革命的重要论文进行了简短的文献计量分析，其目的是支持他的建议，即思想以流行病学的方式在人群中传播。在他的分析中，道金斯首先讨论了英国进化生物学家威廉·唐纳德·汉密尔顿（William Donald Hamilton）发表的一篇文章的影响，该文章引入了“包容性适应性”的概念，他认为与其他两篇开创性论文的引用积累方式截然不同，在圈子中展示新“模因”的出现和传播。本文重新审视了道金斯的原始分析和得出的结论，并根据自那时以来的三十年间积累的引文数据对这些结论进行了更新。最新的分析表明，三篇论文的引用模式以及道金斯的书本身实际上非常相似，并且在引用增长方面没有定性差异。数据通过两阶段的引文增长指数模型得到了很好的描述，其中引文迅速积累，然后以主要由生产总增长决定的较慢增长水平饱和。据推测，这种两阶段的指数增长，并作了一些修改以解决未立即发现的论文，可能是一个标志，将有助于揭示文学中真正新颖思想的出现。

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