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首页> 外文期刊>Transport Problems: an International Scientific Journal: Problemy Transportu >The application of reliability reallocation model in traffic safety analysis on rural roads
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The application of reliability reallocation model in traffic safety analysis on rural roads

机译：可靠性重新分配模型在农村公路交通安全分析中的应用

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The number of accidents on rural roads still represents a higher percentageof accidents than those occurring on built-up areas and motorways. Many countries areworking on the definition and implementation of strategies that relate to the improvementof traffic safety on rural roads. This paper presents an approach to the analysis of trafficsafety and the frequency of traffic accidents. The developed model is based on reliabilitytheory and the application of the reliability reallocation model on data concerning trafficaccidents that have occurred on rural roads. To test the model, a state road made up of 20sections of a total length of 255 km was selected. The analysis of traffic safety on theobserved road covers the period between the years 2005 and 2013 (this period is dividedinto two intervals 2005–2009 and 2010–2013). Following the basic analyses of trafficsafety that are positioned in a space-time coordinate system, the next step is the reliabilityanalysis and the ranking of the section. In this paper, the reallocation method wasobserved from the aspect of the reduction in accident frequency by 10% and theapplication of the ARINC apportionment technique.
机译：农村公路上的事故数量仍然比在建筑区域和高速公路上发生的事故所占的比例更高。许多国家正在制定和实施与改善农村道路交通安全有关的战略。本文提出了一种分析交通安全和交通事故发生频率的方法。所建立的模型基于可靠性理论，并将可靠性重新分配模型应用于与农村道路交通事故有关的数据。为了测试模型，选择了由20个路段组成的总长度为255 km的州道。对观察到的道路的交通安全的分析涵盖了2005年至2013年之间的时间段（该时间段分为2005-2009年和2010-2013年两个时间间隔）。在进行时空坐标系中的交通安全基本分析之后，下一步是可靠性分析和路段排名。本文从事故率降低10％以及ARINC分配技术的应用等方面对重新分配方法进行了研究。

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