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A Population Simulator and Disaggregate Transport Demand Models for Flanders

机译：法兰德斯的人口模拟和分类运输需求模型

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The Fourt Generation of Strategic Passenger Transport Models for Flanders are being developed to meet three objectives. It includes a Population Simulator to generate reliable population inputs for a disaggregate demand model, the demand model is based on disaggregate tour-based mobility demand model, which also includes a departure time choice model to improve the sensitivity to increasing congestion and congestion charging. Finally the model is updated to the base year. This article describes the development of the population simulator and mobility demand model. The population simulator simulates the demographic evolution of the Flemish population from 2001 to the new base year 2013 and subsequently for a given year in the future. The disaggregate choice models in the mobility-demand model are are estimated on the OVG and OWoWi surveys. The presented demand models are being implemented in a microsimulation application. In effect, the passenger transport model is sensitive to changes in the composition of the population and infrastructure developments.
机译：为满足三个目标，正在开发针对法兰德斯的战略旅客运输模型的Fourt代。它包括一个人口模拟器，用于为分类需求模型生成可靠的人口输入，需求模型基于基于分类游览的移动性需求模型，该模型还包括出发时间选择模型，以提高对增加拥堵和拥堵收费的敏感性。最后，将模型更新为基准年。本文介绍了人口模拟器和流动需求模型的开发。人口模拟器模拟从2001年到2013年新基准年以及随后的给定年份的佛兰芒人口的人口变化。在OVG和OWoWi调查中估计了流动需求模型中的分类选择模型。提出的需求模型正在微仿真应用程序中实现。实际上，客运模型对人口构成和基础设施发展的变化很敏感。

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