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2nd Annual Scientifc Meeting and 3rd Annual General Meeting

机译:第二届年度科学会议和第三届年度股东大会

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We are now facing an emerging influenza pandemic due to the current novel influenza A virus (H1N1) or better known as human swine influenza virus (HSIV) here in Hong Kong, with all the uncertainties that accompany any new infection. The only certainty regarding this HSIV is that it will spread across the whole world in time, while the most worrisome uncertainty for us is whether the case fatality ratio (CFR) is going to be that of Mexico (i.e. 2.0%) or more like that of USA i.e. 0.14%) in Asia, and whether the CFR is going to change for the worse this coming winter. Our response will obviously be different according to the CFR.
机译:由于目前在香港存在的新型甲型流感病毒(H1N1)或更广为人知的人类猪型流感病毒(HSIV),我们现在正面临新兴的流感大流行,而且任何新的感染都会带来不确定性。关于这种HSIV的唯一确定性是它会及时传播到整个世界,而对我们而言,最令人担忧的不确定因素是病死率(CFR)是否将是墨西哥的病死率(即2.0%)或更高。美国,即亚洲的0.14%),以及即将到来的冬季CFR是否会变得更糟。根据CFR,我们的回应显然会有所不同。

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