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Is there a link between agricultural land-use management and flooding?

机译:农业土地利用管理与洪水之间是否有联系?

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Over the past fifty years, significant changes in UK land use and management practices have occurred, driven by UK and EU agricultural policies. There is substantial evidence that modern land-use management practices have enhanced surface runoff generation at the local scale, frequently creating impacts through "muddy floods". Such local impacts can be avoided or mitigated through the adoption of better land management practices and/or small scale surface runoff control measures. There is little evidence that local scale changes in runoff generation propagate downstream to create impacts at the larger catchment scale. This does not imply that impacts do not exist, but the very few studies in which evidence has been sought have not produced any conclusive findings. Multiscale catchment experimentation, linked to new developments in modelling, is needed which can lead to a better understanding of how small scale changes to runoff generation propagate to larger catchment scales. To facilitate the tracking of changes from the local to the catchment scale, a new modelling approach is demonstrated which allows a downstream flood hydrograph to be mapped back onto its source areas, thus presenting impact information to users in a useful and comprehensible form.
机译:在过去的五十年中,在英国和欧盟农业政策的推动下,英国土地使用和管理方式发生了重大变化。有大量证据表明,现代土地利用管理实践已在当地扩大了地表径流的产生,并经常通过“泥泞洪水”产生影响。通过采用更好的土地管理规范和/或小规模的地表径流控制措施,可以避免或减轻这种局部影响。几乎没有证据表明径流产生的局部尺度变化向下游传播,从而在更大的流域尺度上产生影响。这并不意味着不存在影响,但是很少有寻求证据的研究没有得出任何结论性的发现。需要将多尺度流域试验与建模的新发展联系起来,这可以导致人们更好地了解径流产生的小规模变化如何传播到更大的流域规模。为了便于跟踪从本地到集水规模的变化,展示了一种新的建模方法,该方法允许将下游洪水水位图映射回其源区,从而以有用且可理解的形式向用户提供影响信息。

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