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Prediction Forecasting of the Papers used in Turkey

机译:土耳其使用的纸张的预测预报

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In this study, rexuirement assumption of 8 different sort of paper used in our country is aimed to be done. Factors that can affect paper consumption are considered as variety of wholesale price indexes in paper products and printing industry, import, export, gross national product and population. As it is known, that requirement predictions are carried out by SEKA, too. But, SEKA take into account only population in the prediction. In calculations, multiple regression and correlation methods are used. As a result, it is shown that besides population other factors could affect the prediction and prediction for the paper-cartoon were carried out according to the results of stduy taking into account all factors up to years 2000. There is quite high coorelation between the variables selected in macro-economical level and paper cosumption, that is the proof of correct selection of variables.
机译:在这项研究中,目标是要对我国使用的8种不同类型的纸张进行假设假设。可以影响纸张消耗的因素被认为是纸制品和印刷业的批发价格指数,进口,出口,国民生产总值和人口的多种。众所周知,需求预测也是由SEKA执行的。但是,SEKA在预测中仅考虑人口。在计算中,使用了多种回归和相关方法。结果表明,除了人口之外,其他因素也会影响纸质卡通的预测,并且根据研究的结果对2000年之前的所有因素进行了预测。变量之间存在很高的相关性在宏观经济水平和纸耗方面进行选择,这就是正确选择变量的证明。

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