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Analysis on the Impact of the Fluctuation of the International Gold Prices on the Chinese Gold Stocks

机译:国际黄金价格波动对中国黄金股票的影响分析

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摘要

Five gold stocks in Chinese Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share and Comex gold futures are chosen to form the sample, for the purpose of analysing the impact of the fluctuation of the international gold prices on the gold stocks in Chinese Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share. Using the methods of unit root test, Granger causality test, VAR model, and impulse response function, this paper has analysed the relationship between the price change of the international gold futures and the price fluctuation of gold stocks in Chinese Shanghai and Shenzhen comprehensively. The results suggest the fluctuation of the international gold futures has a strong influence on the domestic futures.
机译:为了分析国际黄金价格波动对中国上海和深圳A股黄金股票的影响,选择了中国上海和深圳A股的五只黄金股票和Comex黄金期货。运用单位根检验,格兰杰因果检验,VAR模型和脉冲响应函数的方法,综合分析了国际黄金期货价格变动与中国上海和深圳黄金股票价格波动之间的关系。结果表明,国际黄金期货的波动对国内期货有很大的影响。

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