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首页> 外文期刊>Japan agricultural research quarterly >Examining Substitution Patterns Between Domestic and Imported Agricultural Products for Broccoli, Kiwifruit, Rice and Apples in Japan
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Examining Substitution Patterns Between Domestic and Imported Agricultural Products for Broccoli, Kiwifruit, Rice and Apples in Japan

机译：检查日本国内的和进口的农产品对西兰花，奇异果，大米和苹果的替代模式

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Economic simulation systems such as computable general equilibrium modeling have been used to predict the impacts of climate change on the economy and evaluate countermeasures to mitigate its effects. In this regard, forming an assumption about international trade in agricultural products becomes problematic if limited information is available on substitution between domestic and imported agricultural products. This study examined the substitution patterns of Japanese consumers between domestically produced and imported agricultural products such as broccoli, kiwifruit, rice and apples using discrete choice experiments. Three web surveys were conducted in January 2011, February 2012 and January 2013 to gather responses to the discrete choice experiment questions for each of the four products. The responses were analyzed using the error components multinomial logit model. The results showed that the substitution of imported products for domestic sources was relatively large in the case of broccoli and kiwifruit and relatively low in the case of rice and apples. Although economic simulation systems sometimes assume that substitution patterns between domestic and imported products are fixed for different kinds of agricultural products, our results indicate that this assumption does not necessarily apply in all cases.
机译：经济模拟系统（例如可计算的一般均衡模型）已用于预测气候变化对经济的影响并评估缓解其影响的对策。在这方面，如果关于国内和进口农产品之间替代的信息有限，就很难形成关于农产品国际贸易的假设。这项研究使用离散选择实验研究了日本消费者在国内生产和进口农产品（例如西兰花，奇异果，大米和苹果）之间的替代模式。在2011年1月，2012年2月和2013年1月进行了三项网络调查，以收集对四种产品中每一种的离散选择实验问题的回答。使用误差分量多项式logit模型分析了响应。结果表明，在西兰花和奇异果中，进口产品替代国内产品的数量相对较大，而在大米和苹果中，进口产品的替代量相对较低。尽管经济模拟系统有时会假设国内产品和进口产品之间的替代模式对于不同种类的农产品是固定的，但我们的结果表明，这种假设不一定适用于所有情况。

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