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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Global Economics >Analysis of the Regression and Correlation of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Exports and Revenue (GDP) of Indonesia against Rupiah Exchange Rate (IDR - USD)
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Analysis of the Regression and Correlation of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Exports and Revenue (GDP) of Indonesia against Rupiah Exchange Rate (IDR - USD)

机译:印尼盾对印尼盾(IDR-USD)的国内生产总值(GDP)出口和收入(GDP)的回归和相关性分析

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摘要

As explained in the Mundell-Fleming theory, which states that there is a negative influence between exchange rate and economic growth, where the higher the exchange rate, the lower net exports (the difference between exports and imports) will decrease the amount of output decreases and will cause GDP (Economic growth) to decline . This study uses multiple linear regression analysis to predict and predict the change of value of certain variables when other variables change. Correlation is one of the analytical techniques in statistics used to find the relationship between two or more variables that are quantitative. Then obtained multiple linear regression equation between Rupiah Currency Exchange Rate (Y), Export Value of Indonesia (X1) and Indonesia Gross Domestic Product at Current Market Price Based on Business as variable (X2), that is obtained by multiple linear regression equation is Y=-5050,90239+0,0095804 X1+0,0014006 X2 where Interpretation of correlation between the relationship of Currency Exchange IDR (Y), Export Value of Indonesia (X1) and Gross Domestic Product at Current Price Based on The field of business (X2) is 0.973 with a very strong interpretation that ranges from 0.75 to 0.99.
机译:正如Mundell-Fleming理论所解释的那样,该理论指出汇率与经济增长之间存在负面影响,汇率越高,净出口越少(出口与进口之间的差额)就会减少,产出减少并会导致GDP(经济增长)下降。本研究使用多元线性回归分析来预测和预测某些其他变量发生变化时某些变量的值变化。关联是统计中的一种分析技术,用于查找两个或多个定量变量之间的关系。然后根据业务变量(X2),以印尼盾汇率(Y),印尼出口价值(X1)和印尼国内生产总值(按当前市场价格)获得多元线性回归方程,该多元线性回归方程为Y = -5050,90239 + 0,0095804 X1 + 0,0014006 X2其中,根据业务领域来解释货币兑换IDR(Y),印度尼西亚的出口价值(X1)和当期国内生产总值之间的关系(X2)为0.973,解释范围从0.75到0.99。

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