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Probabilistic Issue of Reliability for Power Machinery Operating in Coal Fired Power Plants

机译:燃煤电厂动力机械可靠性的概率问题

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The paper presents results of reliability analysis made for lignite fired 370 MW rated power units installed in the Belchatow Power Plant (Poland). The concept of standardized power unit and the method of a histogram with a set number of observations in each class were applied in a study. The study includes analysis of probability distributions of operation times and repair times for the main power unit components. Empirical probability distribution functions have been identified and their parameters estimated in the study. The final forecast includes an estimation of such reliability measures like expected operation time, expected failure rate, average repair time and expected annual failure duration.
机译:本文介绍了对安装在Belchatow电厂(波兰)的褐煤燃烧的370 MW额定功率机组进行的可靠性分析结果。在研究中采用了标准化功率单位的概念和在每个类别中具有一定数量观察值的直方图方法。该研究包括分析主要动力单元组件的运行时间和维修时间的概率分布。研究中已经确定了经验概率分布函数,并估计了它们的参数。最终预测包括对此类可靠性度量的估计,例如预期的运行时间,预期的故障率,平均维修时间和预期的年度故障持续时间。

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