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An Empirical Study on Impact of Outward Foreign Direct Investment on Export Trade Structure ——Taking China as an Example

机译:外商直接投资对出口贸易结构影响的实证研究-以中国为例

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Based on China's trade structure optimization confirmed by trade competitiveness index, this paper constructed the Vector Auto Regression (VAR) model to study the short-term and long-term impact of China's OFDI on export trade structure. Empirical results show that: (1) Chinese OFDI has a promote effect on the exportation of capital & technology-intensive products and labor-intensive products, while exportation of resource-intensive products, there is a certain inhibitory effect; (2) In the short term, there is no causal relationship between resource-intensive exports and capital & technology-intensive exportation and OFDI, but there is a causal relationship between certain labor-intensive products exportation and OFDI; (3) Resource intensive products exportation to the impact of the OFDI generated a negative response, capital & technology intensive products exportation to the impact response experienced a process from negative to positive, while labor-intensive exportation experienced a process from positive to no effect.
机译:在以贸易竞争力指数确定的中国贸易结构优化为基础的基础上,构建了向量自回归模型,研究了中国对外直接投资对出口贸易结构的短期和长期影响。实证结果表明:(1)中国对外直接投资对资本输出具有促进作用。技术密集型产品和劳动密集型产品,在出口资源密集型产品时有一定的抑制作用; (2)短期来看,资源密集型出口与资本和资本之间没有因果关系。技术密集型出口和OFDI,但是某些劳动密集型产品出口和OFDI之间存在因果关系; (3)资源密集型产品出口对OFDI的影响产生了负面的反应,资本和产从技术密集型产品到冲击响应的出口经历了从消极到积极的过程,而劳动密集型产品的出口经历了从积极到无效果的过程。

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