...
首页> 外文期刊>MATEC Web of Conferences >Load forecasting method considering temperature effect for distribution network
【24h】

Load forecasting method considering temperature effect for distribution network

机译:考虑温度影响的配电网负荷预测方法

获取原文
           

摘要

To improve the accuracy of load forecasting, the temperature factor was introduced into the load forecasting in this paper. This paper analyzed the characteristics of power load variation, and researched the rule of the load with the temperature change. Based on the linear regression analysis, the mathematical model of load forecasting was presented with considering the temperature effect, and the steps of load forecasting were given. Used MATLAB, the temperature regression coefficient was calculated. Using the load forecasting model, the full-day load forecasting and time-sharing load forecasting were carried out. By comparing and analyzing the forecast error, the results showed that the error of time-sharing load forecasting method was small in this paper. The forecasting method is an effective method to improve the accuracy of load forecasting.Key words: Load forecasting / Temperature / Multiple regression analysis / Time-sharing forecasting
机译:为了提高负荷预测的准确性,将温度因子引入负荷预测中。本文分析了电力负荷变化的特征,研究了负荷随温度变化的规律。在线性回归分析的基础上,提出了考虑温度影响的负荷预测数学模型,并给出了负荷预测的步骤。使用MATLAB计算温度回归系数。使用负荷预测模型,进行了全天负荷预测和分时负荷预测。通过对预测误差的比较和分析,结果表明分时负荷预测方法的误差较小。预测方法是提高负荷预测准确性的有效方法。关键词:负荷预测/温度/多元回归分析/分时预测

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号