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HOW TO PUT HYPED STUDY RESULTS UNDER A MICROSCOPE

机译:如何在显微镜下输入混合的研究结果

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Every week medical science makes headlines with a promising new study or cure. Scientific reputations, corporate fortunes and a tide of human hopes rise and fall on such news. Studies can also stoke the general debate on this or that health benefit or risk.Often it's hard to tell ephemeral findings from epochal breakthroughs...A major problem arises when "things get taken out of context," says Oxford University professor Richard Peto.When researchers tease out selective results from a small subgroup, funny results can pop up. You can prove just about anything by slicing and dicing the data. Here is Peto's Proof:Taking a landmark study of 17 000 patients that proved aspirin as an effective treatment for heart attack, Dr. Peto shows you can reach a vastly different conclusion if you simply separate patients by their astrological sign. "Aspirin appeared totally ineffective for those born under Libra or Gemini," he concludes.
机译:每周,医学界都会以有希望的新研究或新疗法成为头条新闻。科学的声誉,企业的命运和人类的希望之潮在这样的新闻上兴衰。研究还可以引发关于这种或那种健康益处或风险的一般性辩论。通常很难说出划时代的突破带来的短暂发现……当“事物脱离环境”时,就会出现一个主要问题,牛津大学教授理查德·佩托说。当研究人员从一个小组中挑选出选择性的结果时,有趣的结果就会弹出。您可以通过切片和切块数据来证明几乎所有内容。这是Peto的证明:Peto博士对17,000名证明阿司匹林是一种有效的心脏病发作治疗方法的患者进行了具有里程碑意义的研究,Peto博士表明,如果仅根据患者的星座将他们分开,则可以得出截然不同的结论。他总结说:“阿司匹林对天秤座或双子座出生的人完全无效。”

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