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首页> 外文期刊>Cadernos de Saúde Pública >Burden of cancer mortality and differences attributable to demographic aging and risk factors in Argentina, 1986-2011
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Burden of cancer mortality and differences attributable to demographic aging and risk factors in Argentina, 1986-2011

机译：1986 - 2011年，癌症死亡率和患有人口老龄化和危险因素的差异的负担

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The world faces an aging population that implies a large number of people affected with chronic diseases. Argentina has reached an advanced stage of demographic transition and presents a comparatively high rate of cancer mortality within Latin America. The objectives of this study were to examine cancer mortality trends in the province of C?3rdoba, Argentina, between 1986 and 2011, and to analyze the differences attributable to risk variations and demographic changes. Longitudinal series of age-standardized mortality rates for overall, breast and prostate cancers were modeled by Joinpoint regression to estimate the annual percent change. The Bashir & Est?¨ve method was used to split crude mortality rate variation into three components: mortality risk, population age structure and population size. A decreasing cancer age-standardized mortality rates trend was observed (1986-2011 annual percent change: -1.4, 95%CI: -1.6, -1.2 in men; -0.8, 95%CI: -1.0, -0.6 in women), with a significant shift in 1996. There were positive crude mortality rate net changes for overall female cancer, breast and prostate cancers, which were primarily attributable to demographic changes. Inversely, overall male cancer crude mortality rate showed a 9.15% decrease, mostly due to mortality risk. Despite favorable age-standardized mortality rates trends, the influence of population aging reinforces the challenge to control cancer in populations with an increasingly aged demographic structure.
机译：世界面临着患有慢性疾病影响的大量人口的老龄化人口。阿根廷已经达到了人口转型的高级阶段，并在拉丁美洲呈现了比较高的癌症死亡率。本研究的目标是检查C省的癌症死亡率趋势吗？阿根廷，阿根廷，1986年至2011年间，并分析危险变化和人口变化的差异。整体，乳腺癌和前列腺癌的纵向序列的年龄标准化的死亡率是由JINGPOINT回归建模的，以估计年度百分比变化。 Bashir＆Est？¨Ve方法用于将原油死亡率变化分为三种组分：死亡率风险，人口年龄结构和人口规模。观察到癌症年龄标准化的死亡率趋势降低（1986-2011年度百分比变化：-1.4,95％CI：-1.6，-1.2在男性的; -0.8，95％CI：-1.0，-0.6在女性中），在1996年的重大班次方面存在巨大的致命死亡率净变化，对整个女性癌症，乳腺癌和前列腺癌，主要归因于人口统计变化。成反比，整体癌症原油死亡率表现出9.15％的减少，主要是由于死亡率风险。尽管年龄标准化的死亡率趋势有利，但人口老龄化的影响力强化了越来越老化的人口结构中患有人口中癌症的挑战。

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