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首页> 外文期刊>Ciencia e Saude Coletiva >Temporal analysis of the relationship between leptospirosis and the occurrence of flooding due to rainfall in the city of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 2007-2012
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Temporal analysis of the relationship between leptospirosis and the occurrence of flooding due to rainfall in the city of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 2007-2012

机译：2007 - 2012年里约热内卢降雨因降雨导致腹膜血管病关系与洪水发生的时间分析

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The scope of this study is to examine the effect of the average monthly rainfall on the risk of contracting leptospirosis in the city of Rio de Janeiro between 2007 and 2012. It involves an analytical ecological study conducted in the city of Rio de Janeiro in the 2007-2012 period. The variable for the outcome was the number of leptospirosis cases per month, and the independent variable was the average monthly rainfall recorded by the 32 monitoring stations per year. It was decided to model the relationship between cases of leptospirosis and the effects of rain by building a generalized linear model using negative binomial distribution. The rainfall-lag per month was found to be a strong explanatory factor for the number of cases of leptospirosis. This study indicates that the average monthly rainfall may constitute an indicator that enables the execution of actions in order to prepare the health sector for the probable increase in cases of this disease. Therefore, it is necessary to implement the interaction between the work of epidemiological surveillance, especially by situation rooms in periods of crisis, and the risk management teams of environmental surveillance, to increase the response capacity to natural disasters in the municipality of Rio de Janeiro
机译：本研究的范围是审查2007年至2012年间Rio de Janeiro城市收缩钩端子病风险的平均降雨量的效果。它涉及2007年里约热内卢市的分析生态研究-2012时期。结果的变量是每月钩障血管病变病例的数量，独立变量是每年32个监测站记录的平均月降雨量。通过负二氯化分布建立通用线性模型，决定模拟钩端血管症病例与雨水影响的关系。每月降雨量滞后是一种强烈的乳化梭菌病例患者患者患者的强烈解释因素。本研究表明，平均月降雨量可能构成一个指标，使得执行行动的执行，以便为卫生部门准备卫生部门，以便在这种疾病病例中可能增加。因此，有必要实施流行病学监督的工作与危机时期的情境房间之间的相互作用，以及环境监测的风险管理团队，增加里约热内卢市自然灾害的反应能力

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