...
首页> 外文期刊>Complexity >A New Multivariable Grey Convolution Model Based on Simpson’s Rule and Its Applications
【24h】

A New Multivariable Grey Convolution Model Based on Simpson’s Rule and Its Applications

机译:基于辛普森规则及其应用的新多变灰色卷积模型

获取原文
           

摘要

Accurate estimations can provide a solid basis for decision-making and policy-making that have experienced some kind of complication and uncertainty. Accordingly, a multivariable grey convolution model (GMC (1, n)) having correct solutions is put forward to deal with such complicated and uncertain issues, instead of the incorrect multivariable grey model (GM (1, n)). However, the conventional approach to computing background values of the GMC (1, n) model is inaccurate, and this model’s forecasting accuracy cannot be expected. Thereby, the drawback analysis of the GMC (1, n) model is conducted with mathematical reasoning, which can explain why this model is inaccurate in some applications. In order to eliminate the drawbacks, a new optimized GMC (1, n), shorted for OGMC (1, n), is proposed, whose background values are calculated based on Simpson’ rule that is able to efficiently approximate the integration of a function. Furthermore, its extended version that uses the Gaussian rule to discretize the convolution integral, abbreviated as OGMCG (1, n), is proposed to further enhance the model’s forecasting ability. In general, these two optimized models have such advantages as simplified structure, consistent forecasting performance, and satisfactory efficiency. Three empirical studies are carried out for verifying the above advantages of the optimized model, compared with the conventional GMC (1, n), GMCG (1, n), GM (1, n), and DGM (1, n) models. Results show that the new background values can effectively be calculated based on Simpson’s rule, and the optimized models significantly outperform other competing models in most cases.
机译:准确的估算可以为经历某种复杂性和不确定性的决策和政策提供坚实的基础。因此,提出了一种具有正确解决方案的多变色灰度卷积模型(GMC(1,N))来处理这种复杂和不确定的问题,而不是不可思议的多变量灰色模型(GM(1,N))。然而,计算GMC(1,N)模型的计算背景值的传统方法是不准确的,并且不能预期该模型的预测精度。因此,通过数学推理进行GMC(1,N)模型的缺点分析,其可以解释为什么在某些应用中不准确该模型。为了消除缺点,提出了一种新的优化GMC(1,N),短路(1,n),其背景值基于SIMPSON'规则来计算,该规则能够有效地逼近函数的集成。此外,它建议使用高斯规则将卷积积分的扩展版本缩写为OGMCG(1,N),以进一步提高模型的预测能力。通常,这两种优化的模型具有简化结构,一致预测性能和令人满意的效率等优点。与常规GMC(1,N),GMCG(1,N),GM(1,N)和DGM(1,N)模型相比,进行了三种经验研究,用于验证优化模型的上述优点。结果表明,新的背景值可以基于SIMPSON的规则有效地计算,并且在大多数情况下,优化的模型显着优于其他竞争模型。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号