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首页> 外文期刊>American journal of public health >County Jail Incarceration Rates and County Mortality Rates in the United States, 1987–2016
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County Jail Incarceration Rates and County Mortality Rates in the United States, 1987–2016

机译：县监狱监禁税率和县死亡率在美国，1987-2016

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Objectives. To evaluate the relationship between changes in county jail incarceration rates and subsequent county mortality rates across the United States. Methods. We analyzed county jail incarceration rates from the Bureau of Justice Statistics from 1987 to 2016 for 1884 counties and mortality rates from the National Vital Statistics System. We fit 1-year-lagged quasi-Poisson 2-way fixed-effects models, controlling for unmeasured stable county characteristics, and measured time-varying confounders, including county poverty and crime rates. Results. A within-county increase in jail incarceration rates from the first to second quartile was associated with a 2.5% increase in mortality rates, adjusting for confounders (risk ratio [RR]?=?1.03; 95% confidence interval [CI]?=?1.02, 1.03). This association followed a dose–response relationship and was stronger for mortality among those aged 15 to 34 years (RR?=?1.07; 95% CI?=?1.06, 1.09). Conclusions. Within-county increases in jail incarceration rates are associated with increases in subsequent mortality rates after adjusting for important confounders. Public Health Implications. Our findings add to the growing body of empirical evidence of the harms of mass incarceration. The criminal justice reform and decarceration movements can use these findings as they develop strategies to end mass incarceration.
机译：目标。评价美国县监禁率变化与后续县死亡率之间的关系。方法。从1987年到2016年，从1987年至2016年分析了县监狱监禁税率，从1984年到2016年，来自国家重要统计系统的1884年县和死亡率。我们适合1年落后的准泊松双向固定效果模型，控制未测量的稳定县特征，并测量时代混淆，包括县贫困和犯罪率。结果。县内的内部监禁率从第一到第二个四分位数的监禁率增加与死亡率增加2.5％，调整混淆（风险比[RR]？=？1.03; 95％置信区间[CI]？=？ 1.02,1.03）。这种关联随后是一种剂量 - 反应关系，5至34岁的死亡率更强（RR？=？1.07; 95％CI？=？1.06,1.09）。结论。在县内的内部增加的监禁率的增加与调整重要混淆后随后的死亡率的增加有关。公共卫生影响。我们的调查结果增加了越来越多的经验证据的大规模监禁危害。刑事司法改革和解释运动可以利用这些调查结果，因为他们制定了最终批准监禁的战略。

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