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首页> 外文期刊>Eastern Mediterranean Health Journal: Al-Magallat al-Sihhiyyat li-Sarq al-Mutawassit >Role of climatic factors in the incidence of dengue in Port Sudan City, Sudan
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Role of climatic factors in the incidence of dengue in Port Sudan City, Sudan

机译：气候因素在苏丹苏丹港登革热发病率的作用

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摘要

Background : Dengue fever outbreaks have occurred in Port Sudan City, Sudan, during the last 2 decades. Climatic factors may play a role in dengue incidence. Aims : This study aimed at discribing the relationship between climatic factors and dengue fever incidence in Port Sudan during 2008–2013. Methods : This ecological study entailed secondary data analysis of dengue fever cases and climate information to explore which climatic factors predict the incidence of dengue fever. The Wilcoxon rank sum test and multiple linear regression examined the association between number of dengue fever cases and climatic factors during lag times of 1–6 months. Results : Relative humidity and maximum and minimum temperatures were correlated with dengue incidence in Port Sudan at different time intervals during 2008–2010. Precipitation and relative humidity were correlated with dengue fever during 2011–2013. However, 3–5-month lagged relative humidity was the strongest explanatory variable for the incidence of dengue. Conclusion : Dengue transmission appears sensitive to climatic variability. Elucidating the role of climatic factors in dengue fever helps in risk assessment and prevention of epidemics.
机译：背景：登革热爆发发生在苏丹港，苏丹港，在过去的二十年中。气候因素可能在登革热发病率中发挥作用。目的：这项研究旨在在2008 - 2013年期间消除苏丹港气候因子与登革热发病率之间的关系。方法：这种生态研究需要探讨登革热病例和气候信息的二级数据分析，探讨哪些气候因素预测登革热的发病率。 Wilcoxon等级测试和多元线性回归在1-6个月的滞后时间期间检测登革热病例和气候因子之间的关联。结果：2008 - 2010年期间，在不同的时间间隔，相对湿度和最大和最小温度与苏丹港的登革热入射相关。在2011-2013期间，沉淀和相对湿度与登革热相关。然而，3-5个月滞后的相对湿度是登革热发病率最强的解释变量。结论：登革热传动对气候变异性敏感。阐明登革热中气候因素的作用有助于风险评估和预防流行病。

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