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A Review of Tsunami Hazards in the Makran Subduction Zone

机译:Makran俯冲区海啸灾害综述

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The uncertain tsunamigenic potential of the Makran Subduction Zone (MSZ) has made it an interesting natural laboratory for tsunami-related studies. This study aims to review the recent activities on tsunami hazard in the Makran subduction zone with a focus on deterministic and probabilistic tsunami hazard assessments. While almost all studies focused on tsunami hazard from the Makran subduction thrust, other local sources such as splay faults and landslides can be also real threats in the future. Far-field tsunami sources such as Sumatra-Andaman and Java subduction zones, commonly lumped as the Sunda subduction zone, do not seem to pose a serious risk to the Makran coastlines. The tsunamigenic potential of the western segment of the MSZ should not be underestimated considering the new evidence from geological studies and lessons from past tsunamis in the world. An overview of the results of tsunami hazard studies shows that the coastal area between Kereti to Ormara along the shoreline of Iran-Pakistan and the coastal segment between Muscat and Sur along Oman’s shoreline are the most hazardous areas. Uncertainties in studying tsunami hazard for the Makran region are large. We recommend that future studies mainly focus on the role of thick sediments, a better understanding of the plates interface geometry, the source mechanism and history of extreme-wave deposits, the contribution of other local tsunamigenic sources and vulnerability assessment for all coastlines of the whole Makran region.
机译:Makran俯冲区(MSZ)的不确定的海啸潜力使其成为海啸相关研究的有趣的自然实验室。本研究旨在审查Makran俯冲区的海啸危害最近的活动,重点是确定性和概率海啸危害评估。虽然几乎所有研究都集中在海啸危险中,来自Makran俯冲推力,其他地方来源,如SPLAY故障和山体滑坡可能也是未来的真正威胁。苏门答腊andan和java俯冲区等远场海啸来源,常被作为Sunda俯冲区,似乎对Makran海岸线造成严重风险。考虑到来自世界过去海啸的地质研究和教训的新证据,不应低估了MSZ的西部段的海关潜力。海啸危害研究结果概述表明,沿着伊朗 - 巴基斯坦海岸线和沿着阿曼海岸线的马斯喀特和血管之间的海岸线沿海地区的沿海地区是最危险的地区。研究Makran地区海啸危害的不确定性很大。我们建议未来的研究主要集中在厚沉积物的作用,更好地了解板界面几何,极端波沉积的源机制和历史,对整个海岸线的所有海岸线的源泉源和脆弱性评估的贡献Makran地区。

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