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The Transportation Infrastructure and Regional Economic Growth—Evidence from Dongguan Humen Bridge

机译：来自东莞虎门桥的交通基础设施和区域经济增长 - 证据

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Transportation infrastructure is an important factor driving regional economic growth, and scientifically evaluating the economic growth effects of key transportation infrastructure is an important theoretical issue of devel opment economics. This paper takes the opening of Dongguan Humen Bridge as a quasi-natural experiment, and quantitatively identifies the regional growth effect it brings. This paper uses panel data from 21 prefecture-level cities in Guangdong Province from 1991 to 2007, and based on the synthetic control method, assigns different weights to the cities in the control group to construct the “ counterfactual ” state of Dongguan where the Humen Bridge is not opened, so as to compare the difference in economic development between “ real Dongguan City ” and “ Synthetic Dongguan City ” . The results show that the opening of the Humen Bridge in 1997 made Dongguan’s GDP and GDP per capita exceed the theoretical level that could be achieved when the Humen Bridge was not opened. The opening of the Humen Bridge significantly changed the economic growth trend of Dongguan. With the passage of time, the opening of the Humen Bridge has continuously strengthened the promotion of Dongguan ’ s economic growth, indicating that the transportation infrastructure has a long-term effect on the promotion of regional economic growth. This work advances the research on the relationship between transportation infrastructure and regional economic growth.
机译：交通基础设施是推动区域经济增长的重要因素，科学评估关键交通基础设施的经济增长影响是发展策略经济学的重要理论问题。本文采取了东莞虎门桥的开放作为准自然实验，并定量识别它带来的区域生长效果。本文使用了1991年至2007年从广东省21个县级城市的面板数据，并根据合成控制方法，为控制集团的城市分配不同权重，以构建虎门桥的“反事实”状态没有打开，以比较“真正的东莞市”与“综合东莞市”之间的经济发展差异。结果表明，1997年虎门桥的开放使东莞的GDP和人均GDP超过了当虎门桥没有开放时可以实现的理论水平。虎门桥的开放显着改变了东莞的经济增长趋势。随着时间的推移，虎门桥的开放不断加强了东莞经济增长的推动，表明交通基础设施对促进区域经济增长具有长期影响。这项工作进展了运输基础设施与区域经济增长关系的研究。

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