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To Be or Not to Be Listed? A Dilemma of the Greek-Owned Cyclical Shipping Companies

机译:要被列出或不列举?希腊拥有的周期船公司的困境

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摘要

This work explained why only 31, out of about 1000 Greek-owned global shipping companies, raised from $1 b to $21 b from the international stock exchanges (mainly NYSE & NASDAQ), since mainly 2005. First, we thought that by analyzing the advantages and disadvantages of an IPO, we could possibly provide this answer, but these found almost balanced. We drew several times on Keynes. We found that Greek shipowners consider their profession as a way of life , and they dislike the function of Stock Exchanges where a separation of ownership from management can be accomplished. Surprisingly, we found that also Stock Exchanges dislike shipping sector, mainly for its volatility ! Volatility —we showed—to be a coin with two sides: one side is that earnings, NAVs, etc. are not stable, creating risk and unreliability —this side is looked-up by Stock Exchanges and banks; the other side is that of reality, because shipping sector is a cyclical one, with 8 years on average duration, providing thus—as shown—great opportunities for extremely profitable asset appreciation , which is known as “asset play” ! If banks, and stock exchanges, learned-well shipping sector, they had to provide finance at rock bottom earnings, and not at high, as they do, and for a longer tenor than 4 years (to prove this we used a number of case-studies). We showed, however, the high detrimental sensitivity of banks and stock exchanges to global financial crises , like that at the end-2008. Greek-owned shipping lost 2/3 of its capitalization within 10 months, and given that crisis continued till 2020, they were unable to get finance! Finally, to avoid spreading-out a cloud of pessimism in a world under the shadow of the Pandemic, and given that shipping sector is unpredictable, but well-managed, we proposed “management by visioning” based on Chaos Theory .
机译:这项工作解释了为什么只有31人,大约1000个希腊所有的全球航运公司,从2005年的国际证券交易所(主要是NYSE&NASDAQ)从1亿美元到21美元筹集,从2005年以来。首先,我们认为通过分析优势和IPO的缺点,我们可能提供这个答案,但这些发现几乎是平衡的。我们在凯恩斯汲取了几次。我们发现希腊船东认为他们的职业是的方式生活,他们不喜欢库存交易的功能,可以实现管理层的所有权分离。令人惊讶的是,我们发现还有库存交易所不喜欢的航运部门,主要针对其波动!波动率 - 我们展示了两侧的硬币:一侧是收益,导航等并不稳定,创造风险和不可靠 - 证券交易所和银行抬头抬头;另一边是现实,因为运输扇区是一个周期性的,平均持续时间为8年,提供了非常有利可图资产升值的最佳机会,这被称为“资产播放”!如果银行,以及股票交易,学习良好的航运部门,他们必须在岩石底部收入提供金融,而不是在高度,因为他们所做的更长4岁(证明我们使用了许多案例-学习)。然而,我们展示了银行和股票交易所的高度不利敏感性至全球金融危机,就像2008年底一样。希腊所有的运输在10个月内失去了2/3的资本化,鉴于危机持续到2020年,他们无法获得金融!最后,为了避免在大流行阴影下的世界中传播悲观主义,并且鉴于航运部门是不可预测的,但管理的良好,我们提出了基于混沌理论的“通过愿景管理”。

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