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The Measurement and Influencing Factors of Agricultural Carbon Emissions in China’s Western Taiwan Straits Economic Zone

机译：中国西海海峡两岸经济区农业碳排放的测量与影响因素

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摘要

Carbon emissions in agricultural production activities have become an important source of accelerating climate warming. At present, low-carbon agriculture is not only an important means to mitigate climate warming, but also a necessary process of transformation from traditional agriculture to modern agriculture. Therefore, to achieve the sustainable development of agriculture in China’s Western Taiwan Straits Economic Zone (WTS Economic Zone), the governments should vigorously promote the upgrading and realize the development of low-carbon agriculture. By adopting the latest emission coefficients and the ordered weighted averaging (OWA) aggregation operator, this paper selected agricultural land use, rice paddies, crop production, livestock manure storage and livestock enteric fermentation as the five carbon emission sources, and measured agricultural carbon emissions in the WTS Economic Zone from 2010 to 2017. Thus, from the time perspective, the average agricultural carbon emissions in the WTS Economic Zone showed a fluctuating downward trend, from 762.64 × 10 3 tonnes in 2010 to 710.02 × 10 3 tonnes in 2017. From the spatial perspective, total agricultural carbon emissions among regions are quite different. To further clarify the factors affecting agricultural carbon emissions in the WTS Economic Zone, by applying the geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) model, this paper selected the research and development intensity, the added value of agriculture, the proportion of agricultural labour force, the overall level of urbanization, per capita disposable income of rural residents and per capita arable land areas as the influencing factors, and then measured the direction and degree of the influences on agricultural carbon emissions in different temporal-spatial backgrounds. The results showed that the added value of agriculture, the proportion of agricultural labour force and per capita arable land areas had positive influences on agricultural carbon emissions, while the research and development intensity, the overall level of urbanization and per capita disposable income of rural residents had negative impacts. Although agricultural carbon emissions in the WTS Economic Zone have decreased in recent years, further measures can be taken to effectively reduce agricultural carbon emissions, and ultimately promote the development of low-carbon agriculture according to the results of this study.
机译：农业生产活动中的碳排放已成为加速气候变暖的重要来源。目前，低碳农业不仅是减轻气候变暖的重要手段，而且是从传统农业转变为现代农业的必要过程。因此，为了实现中国西海海峡两岸农业的可持续发展（WTS经济区），政府应大力推进升级，实现低碳农业的发展。通过采用最新的排放系数和有序加权平均（OWA）聚合运营商，本文选择了农业用地，稻田，作物生产，畜牧粪便储存和畜牧业发酵作为五种碳排放来源，并测量了农业碳排放从2010年到2017年的WTS经济区。因此，从时间的角度来看，WTS经济区的平均农业碳排放量与2010年的762.64×10 3吨从762.64×10 3吨显示出来的波动趋势。来自2017年的710.02×10 3吨。空间视角，地区之间的农业总碳排放量完全不同。为了进一步澄清影响WTS经济区农业碳排放的因素，通过应用地理和时间加权回归（GTWR）模型，本文选择了研发强度，农业附加值，农业劳动力比例，城市化的整体水平，农村居民的人均可支配收入和人均耕地区域作为影响因素，然后测量了不同时间空间背景下的农业碳排放的方向和程度。结果表明，农业的附加值，农业劳动力和人均耕地地区的比例对农业碳排放产生了积极的影响，而研究和开发强度，城市化的整体水平和农村居民的人均可支配收入。产生负面影响。虽然近年来WTS经济区的农业碳排放量减少，但可以采取进一步措施，有效降低农业碳排放，并根据本研究结果促进低碳农业的发展。

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