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A relative vulnerability estimation of flood disaster using data envelopment analysis in the Dongting Lake region of Hunan

机译:湖南洞庭湖地区数据包络分析的洪水灾害的相对脆弱性估算

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The vulnerability to flood disaster is addressed by a number of studies. It is of great importance to analyze the vulnerability of different regions and various periods to enable the government to make policies for distributing relief funds and help the regions to improve their capabilities against disasters, yet a recognized paradigm for such studies seems missing. Vulnerability is defined and evaluated through either physical or economic–ecological perspectives depending on the field of the researcher concerned. The vulnerability, however, is the core of both systems as it entails systematic descriptions of flood severities or disaster management units. The research mentioned often has a development perspective, and in this article we decompose the overall flood system into several factors: disaster driver, disaster environment, disaster bearer, and disaster intensity, and take the interaction mechanism among all factors as an indispensable function. The conditions of flood disaster components are demonstrated with disaster driver risk level, disaster environment stability level and disaster bearer sensitivity, respectively. The flood system vulnerability is expressed as vulnerability = f(risk, stability, sensitivity). Based on the theory, data envelopment analysis method (DEA) is used to detail the relative vulnerability's spatiotemporal variation of a flood disaster system and its components in the Dongting Lake region. The study finds that although a flood disaster system's relative vulnerability is closely associated with its components' conditions, the flood system and its components have a different vulnerability level. The overall vulnerability is not the aggregation of its components' vulnerability. On a spatial scale, zones central and adjacent to Dongting Lake and/or river zones are characterized with very high vulnerability. Zones with low and very low vulnerability are mainly distributed in the periphery of the Dongting Lake region. On a temporal scale, the occurrence of a vibrating flood vulnerability trend is observed. A different picture is displayed with the disaster driver risk level, disaster environment stability level and disaster bearer sensitivity level. The flood relative vulnerability estimation method based on DEA is characteristic of good comparability, which takes the relative efficiency of disaster system input–output into account, and portrays a very diverse but consistent picture with varying time steps. Therefore, among different spatial and time domains, we could compare the disaster situations with what was reflected by the same disaster. Additionally, the method overcomes the subjectivity of a comprehensive flood index caused by using an a priori weighting system, which exists in disaster vulnerability estimation of current disasters.
机译:洪水灾难的脆弱性得到了许多研究。分析不同地区的脆弱性和各个时期的脆弱性是非常重要的,使政府能够对分发救济基金进行政策,并帮助地区提高其对灾害的能力,但这种研究的公认范式似乎似乎失踪。根据有关研究人员的领域,通过身体或经济生态观点来定义和评估漏洞。然而,漏洞是两个系统的核心,因为它需要对洪水剧情或灾害管理单元的系统描述。所提到的研究通常具有发展观点,并且在本文中,我们将整体洪水系统分解为几个因素:灾害驾驶员,灾害环境,灾难承载和灾害强度,并将所有因素中的相互作用机制作为不可或缺的功能。洪水灾难组件的条件分别对灾害驾驶风险水平,灾害环境稳定水平和灾害承载敏感性进行了证明。洪泛系统漏洞表示为漏洞= F(风险,稳定性,灵敏度)。基于该理论,数据包络分析方法(DEA)用于详细说明洪水灾害系统的相对脆弱性的时空变化及其在洞庭湖地区的组件。该研究发现,虽然洪水灾害系统的相对漏洞与其组件的条件密切相关,但洪水系统及其组件具有不同的漏洞水平。整体漏洞不是其组件漏洞的聚合。在空间秤上,区中央和洞庭湖和/或河流区的区间具有非常高的脆弱性。具有低且极低漏洞的区域主要分布在洞庭湖地区的周边。在时间尺度上,观察到振动泛漏漏洞的发生。截至灾害驾驶风险水平,灾害环境稳定水平和灾难承载率级别的不同图。基于DEA的洪泛相对漏洞估计方法是具有良好可比性的特征,这取得了灾害系统的相对效率,以考虑到灾害系统的相对效率,并且描绘了具有不同时间步长的非常多样化但一致的图像。因此,在不同的空间和时间域中,我们可以将灾难情况与同一灾难所反映的东西进行比较。此外,该方法克服了通过使用一个先验的加权系统引起的综合洪水指数的主观性,这是当前灾害的灾害漏洞估算中存在的。

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