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Preface: Advances in post-processing and blending of deterministic and ensemble forecasts

机译:前言:确定性和集合预测的后处理和混合进展

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The special issue on advances in post-processing and blending of deterministic and ensemble forecasts is the outcome of several successful successive sessions organized at the General Assembly of the European Geosciences Union. Statistical post-processing and blending of forecasts are currently topics of important attention and development in many countries to produce optimal forecasts. Ten contributions have been received, covering key aspects of current concerns on statistical post-processing, namely the restoration of inter-variable dependences, the impact of model changes on the statistical relationships and how to cope with it, the operational implementation at forecasting centers, the development of appropriate metrics for forecast verification, and finally two specific applications to snow forecasts and seasonal forecasts of the North Atlantic Oscillation.
机译:关于确定性和集合预测的后处理和混合进展的特殊问题是在欧洲地球科学联盟大会上组织的几次成功连续课程的结果。预测的统计后处理和混合目前是许多国家的重要关注和发展的主题,以产生最佳预测。收到了十个贡献,涵盖了当前对统计后处理的关注的关键方面,即恢复变量间依赖,模型变化对统计关系的影响以及如何应对它,预测中心的业务实施,开发预测核查的适当指标,以及北大西洋振荡的雪预测和季节性预测的两个特定应用。

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