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Scenario Method of Strategic Planning and Forecasting the Development of the Rural Economy in Agricultural Complex

机译：战略规划的情景方法和预测农业综合体农村经济发展

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The purpose of the study is to justify the use of the universal scenario method of strategic planning and forecasting the development of the agroindustrial complex of the regional rural economy. The scientific novelty of the study lies in the application of a set of theoretical and methodological provisions for scenario planning and forecasting the development of agriculture in the regions, taking into account the assessment of their existing potential and constructing a territorial planning scheme for the priority of participation in the implementation of strategic directions of rural development in agricultural production. The paper presents a territorial model of the priority of participation of the municipal regions of the Republic of Bashkortostan in the implementation of strategic areas in the areas of development of production of grain crops, sugar beet, and oilseeds. The developed scenario method, reflecting the qualitatively heterogeneous directions of the development of enterprises, is formed taking into account the achievement of the strategic goal and potential opportunities of rural areas. This allows determining strategic decisions for the further development of rural areas and integrating them into a uniform industry development strategy. The developed approach is recommended to be used as a guideline in the development of long-term programs for the development of the crop production industry, as well as for adjusting the activities of ongoing programs.
机译：该研究的目的是致力于使用普遍情景方法的战略规划和预测区域农村经济农业工业复合体的发展。该研究的科学新颖性在于，在区域潜在的潜力和建设优先级的地域规划计划的评估中，在地区的情况下，在地区发展和预测农业发展的理论和方法论规定的应用参与实施农村农业生产战略方向。本文介绍了巴什科斯顿共和国市政地区参与的优先级，在制定粮食作物，甜菜和油籽生产领域的战略领域。制定的情景方法，反映了企业发展的定性异构方向，也考虑到了农村地区的战略目标和潜在机会的实现。这使得确定农村地区进一步发展的战略决策，并将其整合到统一的行业发展战略中。建议开发的方法被用作制定作物生产行业发展长期计划的指导，以及调整正在进行的计划的活动。

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