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On the connotation, challenge and significance of China's “energy independence” strategy

机译:论中国“能源独立”策略的内涵,挑战和意义

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The world's energy is in the “third major transformation period” from fossil energy to new energy, and all countries in the world have formulated energy development strategies. Through advanced deployment, the United States is about to achieve “energy independence” relying on “unconventional oil and gas revolution”. China's energy development is faced with four challenges: (1) The population base and economic development scale determine the “totally huge amount” of energy consumption; (2) the “coal rich but oil and gas insufficient” resource structure determines the “unclean” energy consuming structure; (3) the increasing dependence on imported oil and gas determines the “unsafe” energy supply; and (4) the unconventional oil and gas endowment makes it impossible to achieve energy independence by copying the American model. From the perspective of the world energy trend and the unique situation of China's energy, we put forward a “three-step” strategy for China to achieve “energy independence”: From 2020 to 2035, “energy supply security” will be addressed by “cleaning coal, stabilizing oil and gas production and vigorously developing new alternative energy”; from 2035 to 2050, the vision of “production independence” will be realized by relying on “domestic production and overseas oil and gas mining rights”; from 2050 to 2100, “intelligent energy and new energy” will help China realize “energy independence”. The two important signs of China's “energy independence” are that domestic production accounts for more than 90% of the domestic consumption and clean energy production accounts for more than 70%, and energy security realizes “independence and self-control” and “long-term security”. The strategic significance of “energy independence” is to ensure national energy security, drive the development of relevant major industries, achieve energy management reform, and implement the environmental protection goal of zero carbon emissions. The “energy independence” of China is a strategic mission, it might be fulfilled in the future with the growth of the state's power, even when the domestic energy production does not catch up with the domestic consumption. Perhaps the world's new technological revolution will exceed expectations, and China's “energy independence” dream will eventually come true.
机译:世界的能源是从化石能源到新能源的“第三大转型期”,世界各国都制定了能源发展战略。通过先进的部署,美国即将实现“能源独立”依靠“非传统石油和天然气革命”。中国的能源发展面临四项挑战:(1)人口基础和经济发展规模决定了“完全巨大的能源消耗”; (2)“煤炭丰富但石油和天然气不足”的资源结构决定了“不洁净”的能耗结构; (3)对进口石油和天然气的增加依赖决定了“不安全”的能源供应; (4)非传统的石油和天然气禀赋使得通过复制美国模型无法实现能源独立性。从世界能源趋势和中国能源的独特形势的角度来看,我们提出了“三步”战略,实现了“能源独立”:从2020年到2035年,“能源供应安全”将被“清洗煤炭,稳定石油和天然气生产,大力发展新的替代能源“;从2035年到2050年,将通过依靠“国内生产和海外石油和煤气挖掘权”来实现“生产独立性”的愿景;从2050年到2100点,“智能能源和新能源”将有助于中国实现“能源独立”。中国“能源独立”的两个重要迹象是国内生产占国内消费量的90%以上,清洁能源产量占70%以上,而能源安全实现“独立和自我控制”和“长”术语安全“。 “能源独立”的战略意义是为了确保国家能源安全,推动相关主要产业的发展,实现能源管理改革,实施零碳排放的环保目标。中国的“能源独立”是一个战略使命,即使国内能源产量并没有赶上国内消费,将来会在未来实现未来的战略任务。也许世界的新技术革命将超越预期,中国的“能源独立”梦想最终会成真。

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