To Be or Not to Be…? Part I: Is Global Climate Change a Future Reality?

Ilia Brondz

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To Be or Not to Be…? Part I: Is Global Climate Change a Future Reality?

机译：生存还是毁灭…？第一部分：全球气候变化了未来的现实吗？

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In the popular, scientific, and politically directed press, and in all kinds of media, e.g., television debates, fictional films, pseudoscientific programs, and animations for children, global climate change is presented as a future reality as a result of human activity. The contrary perspectives on global climate as a global climate stability or a global climate that is independent of human activity, and global climate dependency on other-than-human (e.g., lunar or solar) activities have not been presented in official press, and have been suppressed in popular and “scientific literature”. It is obvious that politicians are not interested in the real state, and their decision has already been done based on other grounds than the reality. A great variety of narrow-minded persons should feel subdued, live safely, and be tranquil in their ignorance even if in future they may be robbed for their money and made to look foolish. Our series of papers, “To be or not to be…?” will discuss actions performed by humans that are harmful to the environment and to the global climate, global climate fluctuations that do not depend on human activity, or depend on causes that are beyond human activity.

机译：在流行的，科学和政治上指导的新闻中，以及各种媒体，例如，电视辩论，虚构电影，伪科学研究和儿童动画，全球气候变化作为人类活动的未来现实呈现。全球气候作为全球气候稳定的相反的观点，或者独立于人类活动的全球气候，以及全球气候依赖于官方出版社尚未在官方出版物中提出，并拥有受到了流行的“科学文学”的抑制。很明显，政治家对真实国家不感兴趣，他们的决定已经基于其他基础而不是现实。各种各样的狭隘的人都应该感到沉闷，安全地活着，即使在未来的情况下，他们的无知也会变得宁静，他们可能会被抢夺他们的钱，看起来愚蠢。我们的一篇论文，“是或不成为......？”将讨论人类对环境有害的行动以及全球气候，全球气候波动，不依赖于人类活动，或依赖于超出人类活动的原因。

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《Voice of the Publisher》 |2017年第3期|共9页
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Ilia Brondz;
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机译：区域和全球气候模型中的气候分类：高空间分辨率下当前气候估算和未来预期变化的性能
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4. Changes of Stochastic Parameters of Rainfall between Present and FutureClimate in Asian Monsoon Regions Simulated from a Super-high ResolutionGlobal Climate Model [C] . Lisako Konoshima, Eiichi Nakakita Canadian Hydrotechnical Conference . 2009

机译：亚洲季风地区对超高分辨率气候模型模拟亚洲季风地区的日本季风地区的降雨随机参数的变化
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7. The oceans mediate the response of global climate to natural and anthropogenic forcings. Yet for the past 2,000 years — a key interval for understanding the present and future climate response to these forcings — global sea surface temperature changes and the underlying driving mechanisms are poorly constrained. Here we present a global synthesis of sea surface temperatures for the Common Era (ce) derived from 57 individual marine reconstructions that meet strict quality control criteria. We observe a cooling trend from 1 to 1800 ce that is robust against explicit tests for potential biases in the reconstructions. Between 801 and 1800 ce, the surface cooling trend is qualitatively consistent with an independent synthesis of terrestrial temperature reconstructions, and with a sea surface temperature composite derived from an ensemble of climate model simulations using best estimates of past external radiative forcings. Climate simulations using single and cumulative forcings suggest that the ocean surface cooling trend from 801 to 1800 ce is not primarily a response to orbital forcing but arises from a high frequency of explosive volcanism. Our results show that repeated clusters of volcanic eruptions can induce a net negative radiative forcing that results in a centennial and global scale cooling trend via a decline in mixed-layer oceanic heat content. [O] . McGregor, Helen V., Evans, Michael N., Goosse, Hugues, 2015

机译：海洋调节了全球气候对自然和人为强迫的响应。然而，在过去的2,000年中（这是了解当前和未来气候对这些强迫的响应的关键间隔），全球海表温度变化及其潜在的驱动机制受到的约束很有限。在这里，我们提出了一个共同的时期（ce）的全球海面温度的全球综合，该综合来自57个符合严格质量控制标准的海洋重建项目。我们观察到从1到1800 ce的冷却趋势，对于显式测试重建中潜在的偏倚而言，该趋势很稳健。在801至1800 ce之间，表面降温趋势在质量上与地面温度重建的独立合成以及从使用过去外部辐射强迫的最佳估计的气候模型模拟集合推导出的海面温度合成在质量上是一致的。使用单一和累积强迫的气候模拟表明，从801到1800 ce的海洋表面冷却趋势主要不是对轨道强迫的反应，而是爆炸性火山爆发的频繁发生。我们的结果表明，火山喷发的反复簇可引起净的负辐射强迫，这会导致混合层海洋热量降低而导致百年和全球规模的降温趋势。

To Be or Not to Be…? Part I: Is Global Climate Change a Future Reality?

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