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A Novel Hybrid Network Traffic Prediction Approach Based on Support Vector Machines

机译:一种基于支持向量机的新型混合网络流量预测方法

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Network traffic prediction performs a main function in characterizing network community performance. An approach which could appropriately seize the salient characteristics of the network visitors could be very useful for network analysis and simulation. Network traffic prediction methods could be divided into two classes: one is the single models and the opposite is the hybrid fashions. The hybrid models integrate the merits of several single models and consequently can enhance the network traffic prediction accuracy. In this paper, a new hybrid network traffic prediction method (EPSVM) primarily based on Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD), Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), and Support Vector Machines (SVM) is presented. The EPSVM first utilizes EMD to eliminate the impact of noise signals. Then, SVM is applied to model training and fitting, and the parameters of SVM are optimized by PSO. The effectiveness of the presented method is examined by evaluating it with different methods, including basic SVM (BSVM), Empirical Mode Decomposition processed by SVM (ESVM), and SVM optimized by Particle Swarm Optimization (PSVM). Case studies have demonstrated that EPSVM performed better than the other three network traffic prediction models.
机译:网络流量预测在表征网络社区性能时执行主要功能。可以适当地抓住网络访问者的突出特性的方法对于网络分析和仿真非常有用。网络流量预测方法可以分为两个类:一个是单个模型,相反的是混合时装。混合模型集成了几个单一模型的优点,因此可以提高网络流量预测精度。本文提出了一种新的混合网络流量预测方法(EPSVM),主要基于经验模式分解(EMD),粒子群优化优化(PSO)和支持向量机(SVM)。 EPSVM首先利用EMD来消除噪声信号的影响。然后,SVM应用于模型训练和拟合,SVM的参数由PSO进行优化。通过用不同的方法评估其基本SVM(BSVM),由SVM(ESVM)处理的实证模式分解和通过粒子群优化优化的SVM来检查所提出的方法的有效性,并通过粒子群优化(PSVM)进行了SVM。案例研究表明,EPSVM比其他三个网络交通预测模型更好地执行。

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