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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Public Health in Africa >Time series analysis of Nevirapine syrup consumption in prevention of mother-to-child transmission and optimal supply chain model in Oshana region, Namibia
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Time series analysis of Nevirapine syrup consumption in prevention of mother-to-child transmission and optimal supply chain model in Oshana region, Namibia

机译：纳米比亚Oshana地区预防母婴传输及最优供应链模型的奈韦拉滨糖浆消耗的时间序列分析

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Introduction. HIV/AIDS continue to be serious communicable disease whose impact on public health in Namibia is massive. It is estimated that the prevalence rate of HIV in Namibia is 17.2%, ranking the country as the fifth highest in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Some improvement in reducing the number of cases of HIV/AIDS has been made in the country, but the sporadic shortage of medicines continues to slow down government efforts to foster the emergence of an HIV-free generation of Namibians Objective of the study. Develop and demonstrate a mathematical supply-chain model, which can establish parameters to prevent stock-outs of NVP suspension. Method: The study adopted retrospective approach to acquire data from 2012-2016. Results. Gamma supply chain model was developed as the optimal model for NVP syrup and forecasted consumption for 2017-2018 was determined. Conclusion and recommendation. It is a recommendation of this study that new guidelines for implementation of optimal supply-chain models at the regional medical store, health centers and clinics be implemented for Nevirapine syrup.
机译：介绍。艾滋病毒/艾滋病继续是严重的传染病，其对纳米比亚的公共卫生的影响是大规模的。据估计，纳米比亚艾滋病毒的患病率为17.2％，将国家排名为撒哈拉以南非洲（SSA）的第五位。在该国制造的减少艾滋病毒/艾滋病病例数量的一些改善，但药物的摩托车短缺继续减缓政府努力，以促进纳米比维人的无艾米比亚人的出现。开发和展示一种数学供应链模型，可以建立参数以防止NVP悬浮液的储量。方法：该研究采用了从2012 - 2016年获取数据的回顾方法。结果。伽玛供应链模型被开发为NVP糖浆的最佳模型，并确定了2017-2018的预测消费。结论和推荐。这项研究的建议是在区域医疗商店，保健中心和诊所实施最佳供应链模型的新准则，为Nevirapine Syrup实施。

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