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The diurnal cycle of rainfall over New Guinea in convection-permitting WRF simulations

机译:对流对流允许的新几内亚降雨的日期循环允许的WRF模拟

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In this study, we examine the diurnal cycle of rainfall over New Guinea using a series of convection-permitting numerical simulations with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. We focus our simulations on a?period of suppressed regional-scale conditions (February?2010) during which local diurnal forcings are maximised. Additionally, we focus our study on the occurrence and dynamics of offshore-propagating convective systems that contribute to the observed early-morning rainfall maximum north-east of New Guinea.In general, modelled diurnal precipitation shows good agreement with satellite-observed rainfall, albeit with some timing and intensity differences. The simulations also reproduce the occurrence and variability of overnight convection that propagate offshore as organised squall lines north-east of New Guinea. The occurrence of these offshore systems is largely controlled by background conditions. Days with offshore-propagating convection have more middle tropospheric moisture, larger convective available potential energy, and greater low-level moisture convergence. Convection has similar characteristics over the terrain on days with and without offshore propagation.The offshore-propagating convection manifests via a?multi-stage evolutionary process. First, scattered convection over land, which is remnant of the daytime maximum, moves towards the coast and becomes reorganised near the region of coastal convergence associated with the land breeze. The convection then moves offshore in the form of a?squall line at ?~?5?ms?1. In addition, cool anomalies associated with gravity waves generated by precipitating land convection propagate offshore at a?dry hydrostatic gravity wave speed (of ?~?15?ms?1) and act to destabilise the coastal/offshore environment prior to the arrival of the squall line. Although the gravity wave does not appear to initiate the convection or control its propagation, it should contribute to its longevity and maintenance. The results highlight the importance of terrain and coastal effects along with gravity waves in contributing to the diurnal cycle over the Maritime Continent, especially the offshore precipitation maxima adjacent to quasi-linear coastlines.
机译:在这项研究中,我们使用一系列与天气研究和预测(WRF)模型使用一系列对流允许的数值模拟来检查新几内亚的降雨昼夜周期。我们将模拟集中在抑制区域规模条件(2月份)(2月份)(二月?2010)期间,在其中最大化昼夜强制性。此外,我们专注于我们对海洋传播对流系统的发生和动态的研究,这些系统有助于观察到的早晨降雨最大的新几内亚东北地区。一般,日本沉淀展示了与卫星观察的降雨量的良好协议,尽管具有一些时序和强度差异。模拟还重现了在新几内亚东北部组织的Quall线传播海上传播的过夜对流的发生和变化。这些海上系统的发生在很大程度上是由背景条件控制的。具有海上传播对流的日子具有更多的中间对流层湿度,更大的对流可用潜在能量,以及更大的低水平湿气融合。在没有离岸传播的日子里,对流在地形上具有相似的特征。过度传播对流的情况,通过?多阶段进化过程。首先,对陆地的分散对流,这些落地最大值,朝着海岸移动,并在与土地微风相关联的沿海收敛区域附近重组。对流然后以atfall线的形式移动近海?〜?5?ms?1。此外,与通过沉淀地对流产生的重力波相关的凉爽异常以沉降的静摩洛语重力波速度传播近海(〜?15?MS?1),并在到达之前打击沿海/离岸环境的稳定罢工线。尽管重力波似乎没有启动对流或控制其传播,但它应该有助于其寿命和维护。结果突出了地形和沿海效应随着引力波的重要性,在海洋大陆的日期循环中导致昼夜循环,特别是邻近准线性海岸线附近的海上降水最大值。

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