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The importance of low-deformation vorticity in tropical cyclone formation

机译:低变形涡度在热带气旋形成中的重要性

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Studies of tropical cyclone (TC) formation from tropical waves have shown that TC formation requires a wave-relative quasi-closed circulation: the "marsupial pouch" concept. This results in a layerwise nearly contained region of atmosphere in which the modification of moisture, temperature and vorticity profiles by convective and boundary layer processes occurs undisturbed. The pouch concept is further developed in this paper. TCs develop near the centre of the pouch where the flow is in near solid body rotation. A reference-frame independent parameter is introduced that effectively measures the level of solid-body rotation in the lower troposphere. The parameter is the product of a normalized Okubo-Weiss parameter and absolute vorticity (OWZ). Using 20 yr of ERA-interim reanalysis data and the IBTrACS global TC database, it is shown 95% of TCs including, but not limited to, those forming in tropical waves are associated with enhanced levels of OWZ on both the 850 and 500 hPa pressure levels at the time of TC declaration, while 90% show enhanced OWZ for at least 24 h prior to declaration. This result prompts the question of whether the pouch concept extends beyond wave-type formation to all TC formations world-wide. Combining the OWZ with a low vertical shear requirement and lower troposphere relative humidity thresholds, an imminent genesis parameter is defined. The parameter includes only relatively large-scale fluid properties that are resolved by coarse grid model data (150 km), which means it can be used as a TC detector for climate model applications. It is also useful as a cyclogenesis diagnostic in higher resolution models such as real-time global forecast models.
机译:从热带波的热带气旋(TC)形成的研究表明,TC形成需要波浪相对的准封闭循环:“MARSUPIAL POUCH”概念。这导致通过对流和边界层过程的改变的层状近似包含的大气区域,其中发生通过对流和边界层过程的改变。本文进一步开发了袋子概念。 TCS在靠近袋中的中心开发,其中流动在固体旋转附近。引入参考框架独立参数,有效地测量较低对流层中的固体旋转水平。该参数是归一化Okubo-Weiss参数和绝对涡度的乘积(OWZ)。使用20年的ERA-Interim Reanalysis数据和IBTRACS全球TC数据库,显示95%的TCS,包括但不限于,热带波中的那些在850和500 HPA压力上具有增强的OWZ水平相关在TC声明时的水平,而90%在声明之前显示至少24小时的增强型owz。该结果提示袋概念是否延伸到全世界所有TC型形成的波型形成范围。将OWZ与低垂直剪切要求和较低的对流层相对湿度阈值相结合,定义了一个即将到来的Genesis参数。该参数仅包括由粗网格模型数据(> 150km)解析的相对大的流体特性,这意味着它可以用作气候模型应用的TC检测器。它也可用作更高分辨率模型中的循环型诊断,例如实时全球预测模型。

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