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Spatial and temporal changes in SO2 regimes over China in the recent decade and the driving mechanism

机译:近十年来中国的SO2制度的空间和时间变化和驾驶机制

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The spatial and temporal changes in SO2 regimes over China during?2005 to?2016 and their associated driving mechanism are investigated based on a state-of-the-art retrieval dataset. Climatological SO2 exhibits pronounced seasonal and regional variations, with higher loadings in wintertime and two prominent maxima centered in the North China Plain and the Cheng-Yu District. In the last decade, overall SO2 decreasing trends have been reported nationwide, with spatially varying downward rates according to a general rule – the higher the SO2 loading, the more significant the decrease. However, such decline is in fact not monotonic, but instead four distinct temporal regimes can be identified by empirical orthogonal function analysis. After an initial rise at the beginning, SO2 in China undergoes two sharp drops in the periods?2007–2008 and?2014–2016, amid which 5-year moderate rebounding is sustained. Despite spatially coherent behaviors, different mechanisms are tied to North China and South China. In North China, the same four regimes are detected in the time series of emission that is expected to drive the regime of atmospheric SO2, with a percentage of explained variance amounting to 81%. Out of total emission, those from the industrial sector dominate SO2 variation throughout the whole period, while the role of household emission remains uncertain. In contrast to North China, SO2 emissions in South China exhibit a continuous descending tendency, due to the coordinated cuts of industrial and household emissions. As a result, the role of emissions only makes up about 45% of the SO2 variation, primarily owing to the decoupled pathways of emission and atmospheric content during?2009 to?2013 when the emissions continue to decline but atmospheric content witnesses a rebound. Unfavorable meteorological conditions, including deficient precipitation, weaker wind speed and increased static stability, outweigh the effect of decreasing emissions and thus give rise to the rebound of SO2 during?2009 to?2013.
机译:在SO2制度对中国在2005?到?2016和其相关的驱动机制的时空变化进行了研究基于国家的最先进的检索数据集。气候SO2展品明显的季节性和地区性差异,在冬季和两个突出的最大值高负荷的中国北方平原和成渝地区中心。在过去的十年中,整体SO2下降的趋势已经根据一般规则被报道全国,与空间变化的向下率 - 更高的SO2装载,更显著下降。然而,这种下降是实际上不是单调的,而是四个不同的时间机制可以通过经验正交函数分析来鉴定。在开始的初始上升后,SO2在中国经历的周期?2007 - 2008年和?2014- 2016两头尖滴,在一片其中5年中等篮板是持续的。尽管空间相干的行为,不同的机制依赖于中国北方和中国南方。在中国北方,在有望带动大气SO2的政权,以解释方差金额达至81%的百分比的时间序列排放的检测相同的四个制度。走出排放总量,从那些在整个期间工业部门占主导地位SO2变化,而家庭排放的作用仍然不明朗。相较于中国北方,SO2排放量在中国南方呈现连续下降趋势,由于工业和生活排放量的削减协调。其结果是,排放的作用只占约二氧化硫变化的45%,在2009年?这主要是由于排放和大气含量的解耦途径?2013时的排放量继续下降,但大气中的含量证人反弹。不利的气象条件,包括缺失的沉淀,较弱的风速和增加的静态稳定性,超过减少排放物的效果,因此得到在2009?引起SO 2的反弹?2013。

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