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Analysis of global methane changes after the 1991 Pinatubo volcanic eruption

机译:1991年Pinatubo火山爆发后全球甲烷变化分析

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The global methane (CH4) growth rate showed large variations after the eruption of Mount Pinatubo in June 1991. Both sources and sinks of tropospheric CH4 were altered following the eruption, by feedback processes between climate and tropospheric photochemistry. Such processes include Ultra Violet (UV) radiative changes due to the presence of volcanic sulfur dioxide (SO2) and sulphate aerosols in the stratosphere, and due to stratospheric ozone depletion. Changes in temperature and water vapour in the following years caused changes in tropospheric chemistry, as well as in natural emissions. We present a sensitivity study that investigates the relative effects that these processes had on tropospheric CH4 concentrations, using a simple one-dimensional chemistry model representative for the global tropospheric column. To infer the changes in UV radiative fluxes, the chemistry model is coupled to a radiative transfer model. We find that the overall effect of natural processes after the eruption on the CH4 growth rate is dominated by the reduction in CH4 lifetime due to stratospheric ozone depletion. However, all the other processes are found to have non-negligible effects, and should therefore be taken into account in order to obtain a good estimate of CH4 concentrations after Pinatubo. We find that the overall effect was a small initial increase in the CH4 growth rate after the eruption, followed by a decrease of about 7 ppb yr?1 by mid-1993. When changes in anthropogenic emissions are employed according to emission inventories, an additional decrease of about 5 ppb yr?1 in the CH4 growth rate is obtained between the years 1991 and 1993. The results using the simplified single column model are in good qualitative agreement with observed changes in the CH4 growth rate. Further analysis, taking into account changes in the dynamics of the atmosphere, variations in emissions from biomass burning, and in biogenic emissions of non-methane volatile organic compounds (NMVOC), requires the use of a full three-dimensional model.
机译:全球甲烷(CH4)生长速率在1991年6月突出羽田山爆发后出现了大的变化。通过气候和对流层的反馈过程,通过反馈过程改变了对流层CH4的来源和水槽。这些方法包括由于在平流层中存在的火山硫二氧化硫(SO 2)和硫酸盐气溶胶的存在而具有超紫(UV)辐射变化,并且由于平坦散臭氧耗尽。持续温度和水蒸气的变化导致了对流层化学的变化,以及自然排放。我们提出了一种敏感性研究,调查这些过程对对流层CH4浓度的相对效果,使用全球对流层柱的简单一维化学模型代表。为了推断UV辐射通量的变化,化学模型耦合到辐射转移模型。我们发现,在CH4生长速率爆发后,自然过程的整体效果是由于平流层臭氧耗竭导致的CH4寿命的减少。然而,发现所有其他过程具有不可忽略的效果,因此应考虑到剖析后的CH4浓度的良好估计。我们发现,在爆发后,总体效果是CH4生长速率的初步增加,其次在1993年中期减少约7ppb yr?1。当根据排放清单采用人为排放的变化时,在1991年和1993年之间获得CH4生长速率的约5ppb的额外减少。使用简化单柱模型的结果与良好的定性协议观察到CH4增长率的变化。进一步分析,考虑到大气动力学的变化,生物质燃烧的排放的变化,以及非甲烷挥发性有机化合物(NMVOC)的生物发射,需要使用全三维模型。

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