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Interpreting aerosol lifetimes using the GEOS-Chem model and constraints from radionuclide measurements

机译:使用Geos-Chem模型和放射性核素测量的约束来解释气溶胶寿命

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Aerosol removal processes control global aerosol abundance, but the rate of that removal remains uncertain. A recent study of aerosol-bound radionuclide measurements after the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant accident documents 137Cs removal (e-folding) times of 10.0–13.9 days, suggesting that mean aerosol lifetimes in the range of 3–7 days in global models might be too short by a factor of two. In this study, we attribute this discrepancy to differences between the e-folding and mean aerosol lifetimes. We implement a simulation of 137Cs and 133Xe into the GEOS-Chem chemical transport model and examine the removal rates for the Fukushima case. We find a general consistency between modelled and measured e-folding times. The simulated 137Cs global burden e-folding time is about 14 days. However, the simulated mean lifetime of aerosol-bound 137Cs over a 6-month post-accident period is only 1.8 days. We find that the mean lifetime depends strongly on the removal rates in the first few days after emissions, before the aerosols leave the boundary layer and are transported to altitudes and latitudes where lifetimes with respect to wet removal are longer by a few orders of magnitude. We present sensitivity simulations that demonstrate the influence of differences in altitude and location of the radionuclides on the mean lifetime. Global mean lifetimes are shown to strongly depend on the altitude of injection. The global mean 137Cs lifetime is more than one order of magnitude greater for the injection at 7 km than into the boundary layer above the Fukushima site. Instantaneous removal rates are slower during the first few days after the emissions for a free tropospheric versus boundary layer injection and this strongly controls the mean lifetimes. Global mean aerosol lifetimes for the GEOS-Chem model are 3–6 days, which is longer than that for the 137Cs injected at the Fukushima site (likely due to precipitation shortly after Fukushima emissions), but similar to the mean lifetime of 3.9 days for the 137Cs emissions injected with a uniform spread through the model's Northern Hemisphere boundary layer. Simulated e-folding times were insensitive to emission parameters (altitude, location, and time), suggesting that these measurement-based e-folding times provide arobust constraint on simulated e-folding times. Despite the reasonable global mean agreement of GEOS-Chem with measurement e-folding times, site by site comparisons yield differences of up to a factor of two, which suggest possible deficiencies in either the model transport, removal processes or the representation of 137Cs removal, particularly in the tropics and at high latitudes. There is an ongoing need to develop constraints on aerosol lifetimes, but these measurement-based constraints must be carefully interpreted given the sensitivity of mean lifetimes and e-folding times to both mixing and removal processes.
机译:气溶胶去除过程控制全球气溶胶丰度,但去除率仍然不确定。最近关于福岛核电站核电站事故案件137CS的放射性核素测量的最近研究137CS去除(e-Folding)次数为10.0-13.9天,表明在全球模型中3-7天的平均气溶胶寿命可能是太短了两个倍数。在这项研究中,我们将这种差异归因于电子折叠和平均气溶胶寿命之间的差异。我们将137CS和133xe的模拟实施到Geos-Chem化学传输模型中,并检查福岛病例的去除率。我们在建模和测量的电子折叠时间内找到了一般一致性。模拟的137cs全球负担e折叠时间约为14天。然而,在发生6个月的事故前期内的气溶胶结束137CS的模拟平均寿命仅为1.8天。我们发现平均寿命在排放后的前几天在排放后的前几天依赖于去除率,然后在气溶胶离开边界层之前,并被运输到高度和纬度,其中相对于湿法去除的寿命更长的数量级。我们提出了敏感性模拟,证明了放射性核素海拔差异对平均寿命的影响。全球平均寿命被证明强烈取决于注射的海拔。全球平均137CS寿命超过一个大量,在7公里处注射比到福岛站点上方的边界层。在自由流层压层与边界层注射的排放后的排放后的最初几天内瞬时去除率速度较慢,这强烈控制平均寿命。 Geos-Chem模型的全局平均气溶胶寿命为3-6天,比在福岛部位注射的137Cs(可能由于福岛排放后不久的降水),但与3.9天的平均寿命相似通过模型的北半球边界层注入137CS排放。模拟的电子折叠时间对发射参数(高度,位置和时间)不敏感,表明这些基于测量的电子折叠时间为模拟的电子折叠时间提供了结构约束。尽管Geos-Chem具有测量e折叠时间的合理全球平均协议,但是现场比较的现场比较差异高达两个倍数,这表明模型传输,去除过程或137CS的表示中可能缺陷,特别是在热带和高纬度。持续需要在气溶胶寿命上产生限制,但必须仔细解释这些基于测量的约束,鉴于平均寿命和e折叠时间与混合和去除方法的敏感性。

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