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Short-lived climate forcers from current shipping and petroleum activities in the Arctic

机译:短期的气候攻击来自当前的运输和石油活动在北极

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Emissions of short-lived climate forcers (SLCF) in the Arctic region are expected to increase, notably from shipping and petroleum extraction. We here discuss changes in atmospheric SLCF concentrations and resulting radiative forcing (RF) from present day shipping and petroleum activities in the Arctic. The three-dimensional chemistry transport OsloCTM2 and a state of the art radiative forcing model are used, based on a coherent dataset of present day Arctic emissions. We find that the net RF of SLCF of shipping in the Arctic region is negative, mainly due to the direct and indirect RF effects of sulphate emissions, while the net RF of SLCF of petroleum extraction is positive, mainly due to the effects of black carbon aerosols in the air and deposited on snow. Strong seasonal variations of the sensitivities to emissions are found. In terms of annual mean values we find that the Arctic sensitivities to SLCF is similar to global average sensitivities. One exception to this is the stronger snow/ice albedo effect from BC emissions.
机译:北极地区的短期气候攻击者(SLCF)排放预计将增加,特别是来自运输和石油提取。我们在这里讨论了大气SLCF浓度的变化,从现今的航运和石油活动中促进了辐射强制(RF)。使用三维化学传输奥斯洛克和现实辐射强制模型的状态,基于现今的北极排放的相干数据集。我们发现北极地区的运输SLCF的净RF是负的,主要是由于硫酸盐排放的直接和间接的RF影响,而石油萃取的SLCF净RF是阳性的,主要是由于黑碳的影响空气中的气溶胶和沉积在雪地上。发现了对排放的敏感性的强烈季节性变化。在年平均值方面,我们发现对SLCF的北极敏感性类似于全球平均敏感性。这是一个例外,是BC排放的强大雪/冰效果。

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