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Public Expenditure Management and Political Budget Cycles: TheCase of Colima City Council 2009-2018

机译:公共支出管理和政治预算周期:科里马市议会2009-2018的案例

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The political budget cycles (PBC), as an evolutionary part of the economic political cycle (EPC), demonstrate the existence of opportunistic practices of economic variables, electoral, and budgetary that the politicians in power operate in their management to continue in office. In this sense, the literature suggests a pattern of opportunistic behavior on voters’ myopia, showing that there is little retrospective memory for voters, allowing the party in power to execute public policies successfully. Thus, the objective of the research is to analyze the existence of political budgetary cycles in the management of investment spending by the City of Colima from the years 2009 to 2018. Thus, the objective of the research is to analyze the existence of political budgetary cycles in the management of investment spending by the City of Colima from the years 2009 to 2018. This was analyzed using the panel data methodology (MCO; EF; EA), to estimate the variables dependent on investment and current expenditure, a dummy variable was introduced to identify the year before the election and to be able to control the influence of the electoral period on each regression. The results show that investment spending is related to election periods, population growth, and the federal social aid budget sector. Current expenditure was only related to population growth. This allows us to explain that spending is a resource that finances public works in the states of Mexico. Thus, this research shows that public works is a public expenditure that the states of Mexico apply more in times of elections.
机译:政治预算周期(PBC)作为经济政治周期(EPC)的进化部分,展示了经济变量,选举和预算的机会主义行为的存在,即权力在其管理中运作的政治家在办公室运作。从这个意义上讲,文献表明了选民的近视的机会主义行为模式,表明选民几乎没有回顾性记忆,允许党能够成功执行公共策略。因此,研究的目的是分析从2009年至2018年到2018年的科里马市投资支出管理中的政治预算周期的存在。因此,研究的目的是分析政治预算周期的存在在2009年至2018年从科里马市的投资支出管理中。使用面板数据方法(MCO; EF; EA)分析了这一点,以估算依赖于投资和当前支出的变量,介绍了一个虚拟变量要确定选举前一年,并能够控制每个回归的选举期的影响。结果表明,投资支出与选举期,人口增长和联邦社会援助预算部门有关。目前的支出与人口增长有关。这使我们能够解释一下,支出是资助墨西哥州的公共工作的资源。因此,本研究表明,公共工程是墨西哥国家在选举时期的公共支出。

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