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首页> 外文期刊>European Journal of Business and Management >Factors Affecting Foreign Direct Investment in Ethiopia: ARDL Approach to Co-integration
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Factors Affecting Foreign Direct Investment in Ethiopia: ARDL Approach to Co-integration

机译:影响埃塞俄比亚外国直接投资的因素:ARDL联合融合方法

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Different studies show that FDI has important roles to the economic development of a given country and it is determined by several factors. This study tried to investigate what critical factors are determining the amount of FDI inflow into Ethiopia. To accomplish the objective of the study a time series data ranging from 1981 up to 2016 is employed. The results of the Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) test indicate that the variables under consideration are a mixture of integrated of order zero and order one, that is, I(0) and I(1). Moreover, the result of bounds testing confirms the existence of stable long run relationship between FDI and its determinants. Accordingly, Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model or bounds testing approach to co-integration and Error Correction Model (ECM) are applied to investigate the long run and short run relationship between FDI and its determinants respectively. The results of the study revealed that trade openness and real GDP positively influence the inflow of FDI while real effective exchange rate and government fiscal deficit have an adverse effect on FDI inflow. As a policy implication, it is recommended to dismantle restrictions on the free flow of capital, promote poverty alleviation strategies to enlarge the domestic market, strive to reduce budget deficit and avoid frequent changes in exchange rate.
机译:不同的研究表明,外国直接投资对特定国家的经济发展具有重要作用,并确定了几个因素。本研究试图调查哪些关键因素正在确定进入埃塞俄比亚的外国直接投资的数量。为了实现该研究的目的,采用了1981年截至2016年的时间序列数据。增强DICKey Fuller(ADF)测试的结果表明所考虑的变量是零级零和订单的变量,即i(0)和I(1)。此外,界限测试的结果证实了FDI及其决定因素之间的稳定长期关系存在。因此,自回归分布式滞后(ARDL)模型或界限测试方法共同积分和纠错模型(ECM)分别研究了FDI及其决定因素之间的长期运行和短期关系。该研究的结果显示,贸易开放和实际GDP积极影响FDI的流入,而实际有效的汇率和政府财政赤字对FDI流入具有不利影响。作为一项政策意义,建议拆除对资本自由流动的限制,促进扶贫战略扩大国内市场,努力减少预算赤字,避免汇率频繁变化。

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