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Physicians’ brain drain - a gravity model of migration flows

机译:医生脑流量 - 迁移流的重力模型

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BACKGROUND:The past two decades have been marked by impressive growth in the migration of medical doctors. The medical profession is among the most mobile of highly skilled professions, particularly in Europe, and is also the sector that experiences the most serious labour shortages. However, surprisingly little is known about how medical doctors choose their destinations. In addition, the literature is scarce on the factors determining the sharp rise in the migration of doctors from Africa, Asia and Eastern and Southeastern Europe, and how the last economic crisis has shaped the migration flows of health professionals.METHODS:We use the new module on health worker migration provided by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) for 2000-2016 in order to examine the channels through which OECD countries attract foreign physicians from abroad. We estimate a gravity model using the Pseudo-Poisson Maximum Likelihood estimator.RESULTS:Our results reveal that a lower unemployment rate, good remuneration of physicians, an aging population, and a high level of medical technology at the destination are among the main drivers of physicians' brain drain. Furthermore, an analysis of the mobility of medical doctors from a number of regions worldwide shows that individuals react differently on a country-wise basis to various determinants present in the destination countries. Physicians from African countries are particularly attracted to destination countries offering higher wages, and to those where the density of medical doctors is relatively low. Concurrently, a higher demand for healthcare services and better medical technology in the receiving country drives the inflow of medical doctors from Central and Eastern Europe, while Asian doctors seem to preferentially migrate to countries with better school systems.CONCLUSIONS:This study contributes to a deeper understanding of the channels through which OECD countries attract foreign medical doctors from abroad. We find that, apart from dyadic factors, a lower unemployment rate, good remuneration of physicians, an aging population, and good medical infrastructure in the host country are among the main drivers of physicians' brain drain. Furthermore, we find that utility from migration to specific countries may be explained by the heterogeneity of origin countries.
机译:背景:在医学医生的迁移中令人印象深刻的两十年来,过去二十年来的标志着。医学界是最具手机高技能的专业之一,特别是在欧洲,也是经历最严重的劳动力短缺的部门。然而,令人惊讶的是,医学医生如何选择目的地。此外,文献还稀缺了确定非洲,亚洲和东南部和东南部和东南部的医生迁移急剧上升的因素,以及最后一次经济危机如何形成卫生专业人士的迁徙流动。方法:我们使用新的2000 - 2016年经济合作和发展组织(经济经济委员会)提供了卫生工作者迁移的模块,以检查经合组织国家通过国外吸引外国医师的渠道。我们使用伪泊松最大可能性估算器来估算重力模型。结果:我们的结果表明,失业率较低,医生薪酬良好,衰老人口,以及目的地的高水平的医疗技术是主要的司机之一医生的脑流失。此外,在全球范围内各个地区的医学医生的流动性分析表明,个人对目的地国家/地区的各种决定因素的国家明智地反应不同。来自非洲国家的医生尤其被提供更高工资的目的地国家吸引,以及医生密度相对较低的人。同时,接收国家的医疗保健服务和更好的医疗技术的需求推动了来自中欧和东欧的医学医生的流入,而亚洲医生似乎优先迁移到具有更好学校系统的国家。结论:这项研究有助于更深理解经合组织国家通过国外吸引外国医生的渠道。我们发现,除了二次因素,较低的失业率,医生良好的薪酬,老龄化人口和东道国的良好医疗基础设施是医生脑流失的主要驱动因素。此外,我们发现迁移到特定国家的效用可以通过原籍国的异质性来解释。

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