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Real GDP growth rates and healthcare spending – comparison between the G7 and the EM7 countries

机译:真正的GDP增长率和医疗保健支出 - G7与EM7国家之间的比较

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BACKGROUND:Accelerated globalisation has substantially contributed to the rise of emerging markets worldwide. The G7 and Emerging Markets Seven (EM7) behaved in significantly different macroeconomic ways before, during, and after the 2008 Global Crisis. Average real GDP growth rates remained substantially higher among the EM7, while unemployment rates changed their patterns after the crisis. Since 2017, however, approximately one half of the worldwide economic growth is attributable to the EM7, and only a quarter to the G7. This paper aims to analyse the association between the health spending and real GDP growth in the G7 and the EM7 countries.RESULTS:In terms of GDP growth, the EM7 exhibited a higher degree of resilience during the 2008 crisis, compared to the G7. Unemployment in the G7 nations was rising significantly, compared to pre-recession levels, but, in the EM7, it remained traditionally high. In the G7, the austerity (measured as a percentage of GDP) significantly decreased the public health expenditure, even more so than in the EM7. Out-of-pocket health expenditure grew at a far more concerning pace in the EM7 compared to the G7 during the crisis, exposing the vulnerability of households living close to the poverty line. Regression analysis demonstrated that, in the G7, real GDP growth had a positive impact on out-of-pocket expenditure, measured as a percentage of current health expenditure, expressed as a percentage of GDP (CHE). In the EM7, it negatively affected CHE, CHE per capita, and out-of-pocket expenditure per capita.CONCLUSION:The EM7 countries demonstrated stronger endurance, withstanding the consequences of the crisis as compared to the G7 economies. Evidence of this was most visible in real growth and unemployment rates, before, during and after the crisis. It influenced health spending patterns in both groups, although they tended to diverge instead of converge in several important areas.
机译:背景:加速全球化基本上有助于全球新兴市场的兴起。 G7和新兴市场七(EM7)在2008年的全球危机之前,期间和之后的宏观经济方式显着不同。 EM7之间的平均实际GDP增长率大幅增加,而失业率在危机之后改变了他们的模式。然而,自2017年以来,全球经济增长的大约一半可归因于EM7,只有四分之一到G7。本文旨在分析G7和EM7国家的健康支出和实际GDP增长之间的关联。结果:在GDP增长方面,与G7相比,EM7在2008年危机期间表现出更高程度的弹性。与衰退前水平相比,G7各国的失业率大幅上升,但在EM7,它仍然是传统上的。在G7中,紧缩(测量为GDP的百分比)显着降低了公共卫生支出,甚至比EM7更多。与危机期间的G7相比,EM7的速度超出了袖足的保健支出在em7中得出更多关于速度,暴露靠近贫困线的家庭的脆弱性。回归分析表明,在G7中,实际GDP增长对空房外支出产生了积极的影响,以当前健康支出的百分比表示为GDP(Che)的百分比。在EM7中,它受到Che,Che Perobita的负面影响,并且人均超出袋的支出。结论:与G7经济体相比,危机的后果持有更强的耐力。在危机之前,期间和之后,真正的增长和失业率最明显的证据是最明显的。它影响了两组的健康消费模式,尽管他们倾向于分歧而不是在几个重要领域汇编。

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