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Individual-Level Fatality Prediction of COVID-19 Patients Using AI Methods

机译:使用AI方法的Covid-19患者的个性水平致命预测

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The global covid-19 pandemic puts great pressure on medical resources worldwide and leads healthcare professionals to question which individuals are in imminent need of care. With appropriate data of each patient, hospitals can heuristically predict whether or not a patient requires immediate care. We adopted a deep learning model to predict fatality of individuals tested positive given the patient’s underlying health conditions, age, sex, and other factors. As the allocation of resources towards a vulnerable patient could mean the difference between life and death, a fatality prediction model serves as a valuable tool to healthcare workers in prioritizing resources and hospital space. The models adopted were evaluated and refined using the metrics of accuracy, specificity, and sensitivity. After data preprocessing and training, our model is able to predict whether a covid-19 confirmed patient is likely to be dead or not, given their information and disposition. The metrics between the different models are compared. Results indicate that the deep learning model outperforms other machine learning models to solve this rare event prediction problem.
机译:全球Covid-19大流行对全球的医疗资源产生了很大的压力,并导致医疗保健专业人员讨论哪些人迫切需要护理。通过每个患者的适当数据,医院可以启发性地预测患者是否需要立即护理。我们采用了一个深入的学习模型,以预测鉴于患者的潜在健康状况,年龄,性别和其他因素的患者测试阳性的个体的致命。由于对弱势患者的资源分配可能意味着生死与死亡之间的差异,死亡预测模型是保健工作人员优先考虑资源和医院空间的宝贵工具。使用精度,特异性和灵敏度的指标进行评估和精制所采用的模型。在数据预处理和培训之后,我们的模型能够预测Covid-19确认的患者是否可能死亡,或者鉴于他们的信息和处置。比较不同模型之间的指标。结果表明,深度学习模式优于其他机器学习模型来解决这个罕见的事件预测问题。

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