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Time for a Drink? A Mathematical Model of Non-human Primate Alcohol Consumption

机译:喝酒的时间?非人类灵长类动物消费的数学模型

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We simulate a non-human primate's alcohol drinking pattern in order to better understand temporal patterning of alcoholic drinks that can lead to the excessive intakes associated with alcohol use disorder. A stochastic mathematical model of alcohol consumption pattern is developed, where model parameters are calibrated to an individual's drinking history. The model predicts a time series that simulates a monkey's alcohol intake in time, and we analyze this drinking pattern to understand the variations in day and night drinking, the lengths of drinks (intake in 5 or more consecutive secs), and lengths of bouts (1 or more drinks per 5 min occasion). This time series can predict a lifetime categorical drinking levels (light, binge, heavy, or very heavy), thus correlating an individual's parameters with distinct long term drinking classifications.
机译:我们模拟了非人类灵长类动物的酒精饮酒模式,以便更好地了解可导致与酒精使用障碍相关的过度摄入量的酒精饮料的时间图案化。开发了一种饮酒模式的随机数学模型,其中模型参数校准到个人的饮酒历史。该模型预测了一次模拟猴子的酒精摄入量的时间序列,我们分析了这种饮用模式,了解日夜饮用的变化,饮料的长度(5或更多连续的秒),以及最长的比赛(每5分钟的1次或更多饮料)。这次序列可以预测寿命分类饮用水平(光,狂暴,重或非常沉重),从而将个体参数与不同的长期饮用分类相关联。

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