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Simulating cold-region hydrology in an intensively drained agricultural watershed in Manitoba, Canada, using the Cold Regions Hydrological Model

机译:利用寒冷地区水文模型,模拟在加拿大曼尼托巴省曼尼托巴的集中排水农业分水岭中的寒冷地区水文

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Etrophication and flooding are perennial problems in agricultural watersheds of the northern Great Plains. A high proportion of annual runoff and nutrient transport occurs with snowmelt in this region. Extensive surface drainage modification, frozen soils, and frequent backwater or ice-damming impacts on flow measurement represent unique challenges to accurately modelling watershed-scale hydrological processes. A physically based, non-calibrated model created using the Cold Regions Hydrological Modelling platform (CRHM) was parameterized to simulate hydrological processes within a low slope, clay soil, and intensively surface drained agricultural watershed. These characteristics are common to most tributaries of the Red River of the north. Analysis of the observed water level records for the study watershed (La Salle River) indicates that ice cover and backwater issues at time of peak flow may impact the accuracy of both modelled and measured streamflows, highlighting the value of evaluating a non-calibrated model in this environment. Simulations best matched the streamflow record in years when peak and annual discharges were equal to or above the medians of 6.7?m3?s?1 and 1.25??×?107?m3, respectively, with an average Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) of 0.76. Simulation of low-flow years (below the medians) was more challenging (average NSE????0), with simulated discharge overestimated by 90?% on average. This result indicates the need for improved understanding of hydrological response in the watershed under drier conditions. Simulation during dry years was improved when infiltration was allowed prior to soil thaw, indicating the potential importance of preferential flow. Representation of in-channel dynamics and travel time under the flooded or ice-jam conditions should also receive attention in further model development efforts. Despite the complexities of the study watershed, simulations of flow for average to high-flow years and other components of the water balance were robust (snow water equivalency (SWE) and soil moisture). A sensitivity analysis of the flow routing model suggests a need for improved understanding of watershed functions under both dry and flooded conditions due to dynamic routing conditions, but overall CRHM is appropriate for simulation of hydrological processes in agricultural watersheds of the Red River. Falsifications of snow sublimation, snow transport, and infiltration to frozen soil processes in the validated base model indicate that these processes were very influential in stream discharge generation.
机译:养殖和洪水是北大平原农业流域的常年问题。在该地区的雪花中,每年径流和营养运输的高比例发生。广泛的表面排水改性,冷冻土壤和频繁的回水或冰灾害对流量测量的影响代表了准确建模流域水文过程的独特挑战。使用冷区水文建模平台(CRHM)产生的物理上的非校准模型进行了参数化,以模拟低坡,粘土土壤中的水文过程,以及集中表面排出的农业流域。这些特征对于北方红河的大多数支流是常见的。对研究流域(LA Salle River)的观察水位记录分析表明,峰值流动时的冰盖和反水问题可能会影响建模和测量的流流的精度,突出了评估非校准模型的值这个环境。当峰值和年度放电等于或高于6.7?M3?S?1和1.25 ??×107?M3时,模拟最佳匹配流峰值和年度放电等数较高的流出记录分别以平均纳什 - Sutcliffe效率(NSE) 0.76。低流量年(低于中位数)的模拟更具挑战性(平均NSE ???? 0),模拟放电平均估计90?%。该结果表明,需要改善干燥条件下流域水文反应的理解。在土壤解冻之前允许渗透时,干燥年内的模拟得到改善,表明优惠流动的潜在重要性。在洪水或冰冻条件下的渠道内动态和旅行时间的代表也应在进一步的模式开发工作中得到注意。尽管研究流域的复杂性,但平均水平的流量模拟和水平的其他部件是强大的(雪水等效(SWE)和土壤水分)。流量路由模型的灵敏度分析表明,由于动态路由条件,对干燥和洪水条件下的流域功能的了解,但总体CRHM适用于红河农业流域水文过程的模拟。在验证的基础模型中对冷冻土壤过程进行雪升华,雪运输和渗透的伪造表明,这些过程在流放电产生中非常有影响力。

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