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首页> 外文期刊>Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions >Improving SWAT model performance in the upper Blue Nile Basin using meteorological data integration and subcatchment discretization
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Improving SWAT model performance in the upper Blue Nile Basin using meteorological data integration and subcatchment discretization

机译:使用气象数据集成和分割离散化提高上蓝尼罗河盆地的SWAT模型性能

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摘要

The Blue Nile Basin is confronted by land degradation problems, insufficient agricultural production, and a limited number of developed energy sources. Hydrological models provide useful tools to better understand such complex systems and improve water resources and land management practices. In this study, SWAT was used to model the hydrological processes in the upper Blue Nile Basin. Comparisons between a Climate Forecast System Reanalysis?(CFSR) and a conventional ground weather dataset were done under two sub-basin discretization levels (30?and 87?sub-basins) to create an integrated dataset to improve the spatial and temporal limitations of both datasets. A SWAT error index?(SEI) was also proposed to compare the reliability of the models under different discretization levels and weather datasets. This index offers an assessment of the model quality based on precipitation and evapotranspiration. SEI demonstrates to be a reliable additional and useful method to measure the level of error of SWAT. The results showed the discrepancies of using different weather datasets with different sub-basin discretization levels. Datasets under 30?sub-basins achieved NashSutcliffe coefficient (NS)?values of??0.51, 0.74, and?0.84; p factors of?0.53, 0.66, and?0.70; and r factors of?1.11, 0.83, and?0.67 for the CFSR, ground, and integrated datasets, respectively. Meanwhile, models under 87 sub-basins achieved NS?values of??1.54, 0.43, and?0.80; p factors of?0.36, 0.67, and?0.77; r factors of?0.93, 0.68, and?0.54 for the CFSR, ground, and integrated datasets, respectively. Based on the obtained statistical results, the integrated dataset provides a better model of the upper Blue Nile Basin.
机译:蓝尼罗河盆地面对土地退化问题,农业生产不足,以及有限的发达的能源。水文模型提供了有用的工具,以更好地了解这种复杂的系统,改善水资源和土地管理实践。在本研究中,SWAT用于模拟上蓝尼罗河盆地的水文过程。气候预测系统重新分析的比较?(CFSR)和传统的地面天气数据集是在两个子盆地离散化水平(30?和87?子盆地)下进行的,以创建一个集成的数据集,以提高两者的空间和时间限制数据集。还提出了SWAT错误索引?(SEI)也提出了在不同离散化水平和天气数据集下比较模型的可靠性。该指数基于降水和蒸散散,提供了对模型质量的评估。 SEI表明是一种可靠的额外和有用的方法来测量SWAT的误差水平。结果表明,使用不同的子盆地离散化水平使用不同的天气数据集的差异。 30以下的数据集?亚盆地达到Nashsutcliffe系数(ns)?值0.51,0.74和?0.84; p因子?0.53,0.66,和?0.70;和r因素为1.11,0.83,以及CFSR,地面和集成数据集的0.67。同时,87下底部盆地的模型实现了ns ?? 1.54,0.43和?0.80; p的因素?0.36,0.67和?0.77; r为0.93,0.68和cfsr,地面和集成数据集的0.93,0.68和?0.54的因素。基于所获得的统计结果,集成数据集提供了上蓝尼罗河盆地的更好模型。

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