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Impact of Logistics Development on Economic Growth: An Empirical Research from Guangdong Province in China

机译:物流发展对经济增长的影响:中国广东省的实证研究

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This paper evaluates the impact of the development of the logistics industry on economic growth based on panel data of 21 cities in Guangdong Province in China from 2007 to 2019. Using the overall entropy method, the comprehensive development index of the logistics industry is constructed to capture the performance of the logistics industry. On this basis, by using Moran’s index, we measure the spatial agglomeration effect of the logistics industry. Furthermore, direct and spatial spillover effects are also obtained. The estimation results of the spatial Durbin model (SDM) reveal that the elasticity coefficient of the effect of the comprehensive development level of the logistics industry on economic growth is 0.2590, which is significant at the 1% level. In addition, the coefficient of the direct effect of the logistics industry on local economic growth is 0.4074, and the coefficient of the spatial spillover effect on the economic growth of the surrounding areas is 0.3596, which are both significant at the 1% level. These results indicate that the development of the logistics industry can not only improve local economic growth but also promote the economic growth of the surrounding regions.
机译:本文从2007年到2019年,基于中国广东省21个城市面板数据的基于21个城市的小组数据的发展对经济增长的影响。利用整体熵方法,建设物流业的综合发展指数捕获物流业的表现。在此基础上,通过使用莫兰指数,我们衡量物流产业的空间集聚效应。此外,还获得了直接和空间溢出效应。空间德宾模型(SDM)的估计结果表明,物流业综合发展水平对经济增长的效果的弹性系数为0.2590,在1%的水平上显着。此外,物流行业对地方经济增长的直接效应系数为0.4074,空间溢出效应对周围地区经济增长的系数为0.3596,其均在1%水平下显着。这些结果表明,物流业的发展,不仅可以提高当地的经济增长,而且带动了周边地区的经济增长。

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