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Research on electric power development and economic growth in Hebei Province based on business cycle analysis

机译：基于商业周期分析的河北省电力发展与经济增长研究

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With the improvement of China’s electrification level, the relationship between electricity power consumption and social economy development is getting closer. Under this background, in this paper, the business cycle analysis method is applied to the electricity power industry in Hebei Province, and the link between electric power generation and economic development is determined through the prosperity index. First of all, the steps and methods of business cycle analysis were introduced, and the time-difference grey correlation method considering the consistency of time series to screen indicators was put forward, thus to reduce the number of indicators. Next, Hebei Province was taken as an example, and its monthly data related to power generation and economic growth in the 10 years from 2009 to 2018 to was selected to build the business cycle indicator system, at last the composite prosperity index of Hebei Province in electric power industry was calculated. This research results manifest that it is feasible to apply the business cycle analysis to the power industry.
机译：随着中国电气化水平的提高，电力消费与社会经济发展之间的关系正在接近。在此背景下，在本文中，商业周期分析方法应用于河北省电力电力行业，通过繁荣指数确定了发电和经济发展之间的联系。首先，介绍了商业周期分析的步骤和方法，并提出了考虑时间序列的一致性到屏幕指示器的一致性的时差灰色相关方法，从而减少指标的数量。接下来，河北省以2009年至2018年从2009年到2018年的10年内与发电和经济增长有关的每月数据，以便在河北省综合繁荣指数中选择建立商业周期指标制度。计算电力工业。该研究结果表明，将商业周期分析应用于电力行业是可行的。

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