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The Policy Effect of the National Modern Agricultural Demonstration Zones on the Growth of Local Agricultural Economy—Empirical Analysis Based on County Data in Sichuan Province

机译:国家现代农业示范区对基于四川省县数据的地方农业经济实证分析的政策效应

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Based on panel data of 178 counties (cities and districts) in Sichuan province from 2010 to 2018, this paper empirically tested the policy effect of establishing national modern agricultural demonstration zones on local agricultural economic growth by using the DID method. Research has shown that the establishment of the demonstration zones has a positive policy effect on agricultural economic growth, and the robustness test has proved the correctness of the model construction and the validity of the empirical results. However, further research found that the policy lacks a sustained promotion effect. The policy effect appeared a turning point in 2014 and then presents a stable trend. Therefore, this paper makes recommendations for the continuous development of agricultural modernization work in the future and the formulation of follow-up related policies.
机译:根据2010年至2018年四川省178个县(城市和地区)的面板数据,本文经验经验证明了通过使用DID方法在当地农业经济增长时建立国家现代农业示范区的政策效果。 研究表明,建立示范区对农业经济增长具有积极的政策影响,鲁棒性试验证明了模型建设的正确性和实证结果的有效性。 然而,进一步的研究发现,该政策缺乏持续促进效应。 政策效果在2014年出现了一个转折点,然后呈现稳定的趋势。 因此,本文提出了未来农业现代化工作的不断发展的建议,以及制定后续相关政策。

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