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首页> 外文期刊>E3S Web of Conferences >Analysis of Trade Diversion Effect Under Sino-us Trade Friction - Taking Developing Countries and Developed Countries As Examples
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Analysis of Trade Diversion Effect Under Sino-us Trade Friction - Taking Developing Countries and Developed Countries As Examples

机译：中美贸易摩擦贸易转移效应分析 - 以发展中国家和发达国家为例

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Under the background of sino-us trade friction, what kind of trade diversion effect will china produce to the third country market. Based on the monthly import and export data of China and its 11 major trading partners from January 2014 to December 2019, this paper analyzes the trade diversion of sino-us trade frictions to China’s neighboring countries by using the double-difference and panel quantile methods, and through the selection of developing countries and developed countries as a control group for the spillover effects of trade transfer analysis. Empirical analysis: under the background of China’s trade frictions, China’s imports and exports to the United States have been significantly negatively affected, the trade conflict between China and the United States has a significant trade diversion effect on the third country, and the spillover effect on the developing country is larger and longer-term than that on the developed country.
机译：在中美贸易摩擦的背景下，中国贸易转移效应将为第三国市场生产。 根据2014年1月至2019年12月的中国及其11个主要贸易伙伴的每月进出口数据，本文通过使用双重差分和面板定位方法分析了中美贸易摩擦对中国邻国的贸易转移， 通过选择发展中国家和发达国家作为溢出贸易转运分析溢出影响的对照组。 实证分析：在中国贸易摩擦的背景下，中国对美国的进口和出口受到显着负面影响，中国与美国之间的贸易冲突对第三国有重大的贸易转移效应，溢出效应 发展中国家比发达国家更大，更长的时间。

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